Math Problem Statement
A particular telephone number is used to receive both voice calls and fax messages. Suppose that 40% of the incoming calls involve fax messages, and consider a sample of 15 incoming calls.
A button hyperlink to the SALT program that reads: Use SALT.
(a)
What is the expected number of calls among the 15 that involve a fax message?
E(X) =
(b)
What is the standard deviation of the number among the 15 calls that involve a fax message? (Round your answer to three decimal places.)
(c)
What is the probability that the number of calls among the 15 that involve a fax transmission exceeds the expected number by more than 2 standard deviations? (Round your answer to three decimal places.)
Solution
Let's break down the problem step by step.
Given:
- Probability of an incoming call involving a fax:
- Sample size:
- Number of calls is modeled using a Binomial Distribution:
Part (a) - Expected Value
The expected number of calls involving a fax is given by the formula for the expected value of a binomial distribution: Substitute the values of and :
So, the expected number of fax-related calls is:
Part (b) - Standard Deviation
The standard deviation for a binomial distribution is given by: Substitute the values: Let's calculate that.
So, the standard deviation is approximately:
Part (c) - Probability of Exceeding the Expected Number by More than 2 Standard Deviations
We need to find the probability that the number of calls exceeds the expected value by more than 2 standard deviations. This means we are interested in:
Using the values from parts (a) and (b):
So we want to calculate , which is the probability that more than 9.794 calls involve a fax. Since is discrete, this is equivalent to finding .
We will calculate using the binomial distribution formula or a binomial calculator.
Let me calculate that for you.
The probability that the number of calls involving a fax exceeds the expected number by more than 2 standard deviations is approximately:
Summary of Results:
- (a) Expected number of fax-related calls:
- (b) Standard deviation:
- (c) Probability that the number of calls exceeds the expected number by more than 2 standard deviations:
Do you want more details or have any other questions?
Here are 5 related questions to explore:
- How would the expected number change if the probability of a fax call was 60%?
- What is the probability that exactly 8 calls involve a fax transmission?
- What is the cumulative probability that at most 5 calls involve a fax transmission?
- How would the standard deviation change for a sample of 25 calls?
- How can we approximate the binomial distribution using a normal distribution for large ?
Tip: The binomial distribution is symmetric when , but becomes skewed when is far from 0.5.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Probability
Binomial Distribution
Expected Value
Standard Deviation
Formulas
E(X) = n * p
σ = sqrt(n * p * (1 - p))
P(X > E(X) + 2σ)
Theorems
Binomial Probability Theorem
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 11-12
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