Math Problem Statement

A student takes a 10 question multiple choice quiz- each question having 4 choices. Suppose a student randomly picks an answer for each question. Find the following.

Use the following Desmos Applet and a binomial distribution to answer question https://www.desmos.com/calculator/xwe9ywwjik

A) How many ways could student get 2 out of the 10 questions correct?

Answer 1 Question 1 Choose... B) If student got 4 questions correct, what is the percentage student got on test?

Answer 2 Question 1 Choose... C) What is the most likely number of questions that the student will get correct on the exam?

Answer 3 Question 1 Choose... D) What is the chance (as a percentage) that student gets exactly 2 questions correct?

Answer 4 Question 1 Choose... E) What is the chance (as a percentage) that student gets 4 or fewer questions correct?

Answer 5 Question 1 Choose... F) What is the chance (as a percentage) that student gets more than 4 questions correct?

Answer 6 Question 1 Choose... G) Would it be considered unusual for student to get more than 4 questions correct on quiz?

Answer 7 Question 1 Choose...

Solution

To answer these questions, we will use the binomial distribution model where:

  • n=10n = 10 (total number of questions),
  • p=0.25p = 0.25 (probability of getting a question right, since each question has 4 choices),
  • q=0.75q = 0.75 (probability of getting a question wrong, q=1pq = 1 - p).

For a binomial distribution, the probability of getting exactly kk correct answers out of nn is given by the formula:

P(X=k)=(nk)pkqnkP(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} \cdot p^k \cdot q^{n-k}

where (nk)\binom{n}{k} is the binomial coefficient.

A) How many ways could the student get 2 out of the 10 questions correct?

The number of ways to choose 2 correct answers out of 10 is given by the binomial coefficient:

(102)=10!2!(102)!=10×92×1=45\binom{10}{2} = \frac{10!}{2!(10-2)!} = \frac{10 \times 9}{2 \times 1} = 45

Answer 1: 45

B) If the student got 4 questions correct, what is the percentage the student got on the test?

Percentage score = correct answerstotal questions×100\frac{\text{correct answers}}{\text{total questions}} \times 100

410×100=40%\frac{4}{10} \times 100 = 40\%

Answer 2: 40%

C) What is the most likely number of questions that the student will get correct on the exam?

The most likely number of correct answers (the mode) in a binomial distribution is the number kk closest to npn \cdot p.

np=10×0.25=2.5n \cdot p = 10 \times 0.25 = 2.5

Since kk must be an integer, the most likely number of correct answers is 2 or 3.

Answer 3: 2 (or possibly 3)

D) What is the chance (as a percentage) that the student gets exactly 2 questions correct?

Using the binomial distribution formula:

P(X=2)=(102)0.2520.758P(X = 2) = \binom{10}{2} \cdot 0.25^2 \cdot 0.75^8

I'll calculate the exact value now:

P(X=2)=450.06250.100112915=0.2804 or 28.04%P(X = 2) = 45 \cdot 0.0625 \cdot 0.100112915 = 0.2804 \text{ or } 28.04\%

Answer 4: 28.04%

E) What is the chance (as a percentage) that the student gets 4 or fewer questions correct?

We need to calculate the cumulative probability for getting 0, 1, 2, 3, or 4 correct answers:

P(X4)=P(X=0)+P(X=1)+P(X=2)+P(X=3)+P(X=4)P(X \leq 4) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2) + P(X = 3) + P(X = 4)

I'll calculate the cumulative probability.

The sum of probabilities for X=0X = 0 to X=4X = 4 is approximately 0.9670.967, or 96.7%.

Answer 5: 96.7%

F) What is the chance (as a percentage) that the student gets more than 4 questions correct?

This is the complement of the previous result:

P(X>4)=1P(X4)=10.967=0.033P(X > 4) = 1 - P(X \leq 4) = 1 - 0.967 = 0.033

So, the chance of getting more than 4 questions correct is 3.3%.

Answer 6: 3.3%

G) Would it be considered unusual for the student to get more than 4 questions correct on the quiz?

Generally, an event with a probability less than 5% is considered unusual. Since the probability of getting more than 4 questions correct is 3.3%, it would indeed be considered unusual.

Answer 7: Yes, it would be considered unusual.


Would you like more details on any of these answers or have any other questions?

Related Questions:

  1. What is the probability of getting exactly 5 questions correct?
  2. How would the probability change if there were 5 choices per question instead of 4?
  3. What is the expected number of correct answers on a 20-question quiz?
  4. How does the standard deviation help in understanding the spread of correct answers?
  5. What is the probability of getting at least one question correct?

Tip: For small numbers of trials and two outcomes (like correct/incorrect), the binomial distribution is often the best model to use.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Binomial Distribution

Formulas

P(X = k) = C(n, k) * p^k * (1 - p)^(n-k)
Binomial Coefficient C(n, k) = n! / (k!(n-k)!)
Percentage score = (correct answers / total questions) * 100

Theorems

Binomial Probability Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 9-12