Math Problem Statement

At a recent conference function, people were asked to locate their screen time on their phones, then text the reading using an encrypted link. These were the results, where each is rounded to the nearest tenth of an hour:

3.4 4.2 5.1 4.8 9.4 7.2 6.5 4.5 5.2 5.9 6.3 7.2 9.5

8.3 4.4 7.6 10.2 8.6 2.3 6.5 4.3 6.2 5.7 7.2 7.8 8.9

2.4 7.6 6.3 3.9 4.3 5.2 8.4 6.1 5.7 6.3 6.1 5.8 5.3

4.2 4.8 6.4 6.8 8.3 4.1 5.5 3.7

Construct a 99% confidence interval estimate for the population mean screen time. Do not round between steps.

Solution

To construct a 99% confidence interval for the population mean screen time, we follow these steps:

Step 1: Identify the Given Data

We are given a dataset of 48 screen times (already rounded to the nearest tenth of an hour). To compute the confidence interval, we need:

  • Sample size (n) = 48
  • Sample mean (x̄) = ?
  • Sample standard deviation (s) = ?
  • Confidence level = 99% (which corresponds to a critical value, tt^*, from the t-distribution)

Since the population standard deviation (σ\sigma) is unknown, we use the t-distribution with degrees of freedom (df = n - 1 = 47).

Step 2: Compute the Sample Mean (xˉ) and Sample Standard Deviation (ss)

Let's calculate these values. numpy as np

Given screen time data

data = np.array([ 3.4, 4.2, 5.1, 4.8, 9.4, 7.2, 6.5, 4.5, 5.2, 5.9, 6.3, 7.2, 9.5, 8.3, 4.4, 7.6, 10.2, 8.6, 2.3, 6.5, 4.3, 6.2, 5.7, 7.2, 7.8, 8.9, 2.4, 7.6, 6.3, 3.9, 4.3, 5.2, 8.4, 6.1, 5.7, 6.3, 6.1, 5.8, 5.3, 4.2, 4.8, 6.4, 6.8, 8.3, 4.1, 5.5, 3.7 ])

Calculate mean and standard deviation

sample_mean = np.mean(data) sample_std = np.std(data, ddof=1) # Using ddof=1 for sample standard deviation sample_size = len(data)

sample_mean, sample_std, sample_sizeWe have calculated:

  • Sample Mean (xˉ) = 6.0511 hours
  • Sample Standard Deviation (ss) = 1.8467 hours
  • Sample Size (nn) = 47

Now, we find the critical value tt^* for a 99% confidence level with df = 47. scipy.stats as stats

Find the critical t-value for 99% confidence interval with df = 47

confidence_level = 0.99 df = sample_size - 1 # Degrees of freedom

t_critical = stats.t.ppf((1 + confidence_level) / 2, df) t_criticalThe critical t-value (tt^*) for a 99% confidence level with 47 degrees of freedom is 2.6870.

Now, we compute the margin of error (ME) using the formula:

ME=t×snME = t^* \times \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}

Then, we calculate the confidence interval:

Lower Bound=xˉME\text{Lower Bound} = x̄ - ME

Upper Bound=xˉ+ME\text{Upper Bound} = x̄ + ME Compute margin of error margin_of_error = t_critical * (sample_std / np.sqrt(sample_size))

Compute confidence interval

lower_bound = sample_mean - margin_of_error upper_bound = sample_mean + margin_of_error

margin_of_error, lower_bound, upper_boundThe 99% confidence interval for the population mean screen time is:

(5.3273,6.7749)(5.3273, 6.7749)

Final Answer:

(5.33,6.77)\mathbf{(5.33, 6.77)} (rounded to two decimal places)

This means we are 99% confident that the true mean screen time of the population falls within this interval.


Would you like a breakdown of any step? Here are some related questions you might be interested in:

  1. What is the interpretation of a confidence interval in statistics?
  2. How does increasing the confidence level affect the confidence interval width?
  3. When should we use the t-distribution instead of the normal distribution?
  4. How do outliers impact confidence interval estimation?
  5. What assumptions must be met for a t-interval to be valid?

Tip: Always check if the sample size is sufficiently large for the Central Limit Theorem to apply when estimating population parameters!

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Confidence Intervals
t-Distribution
Sample Mean
Sample Standard Deviation

Formulas

Margin of Error (ME) = t^* * (s / √n)
Confidence Interval: Lower Bound = x̄ - ME, Upper Bound = x̄ + ME

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem
t-Distribution Critical Value

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 11-12, College Level