Math Problem Statement
The personnel director of a large hospital is interested in determining the relationship (if any) between an employee’s age and the number of sick days the employee takes per year. The director randomly selects ten employees and records their age and the number of sick days which they took in the previous year.
Employee 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Age 30 50 40 55 30 28 60 25 30 45 Sick Days 7 4 3 2 9 10 0 8 5 2
The estimated regression equation and the standard error are given.
Sick Days=14.310162−0.236900(Age)
Se=1.682207
Find the 95% prediction interval for the average number of sick days an employee will take per year, given the employee is 34 . Round your answer to two decimal places.
Solution
To find the 95% prediction interval for the average number of sick days an employee will take given an age of 34, we can use the prediction interval formula. The prediction interval for a value at a specific is given by:
where:
- is the predicted value for the given ,
- is the critical t-value for a 95% confidence level with degrees of freedom,
- is the standard error,
- is the specific age for prediction (34),
- is the mean of the sample ages,
- is the sample size.
Step 1: Calculate
Given the regression equation: we substitute Age = 34:
Step 2: Calculate the mean of the sample ages ()
The ages are: 30, 50, 40, 55, 30, 28, 60, 25, 30, 45.
Step 3: Calculate the sum of squared deviations from the mean ()
Step 4: Determine the t-value for a 95% prediction interval with degrees of freedom.
Let's calculate this.The 95% prediction interval for the average number of sick days an employee will take per year, given the employee is 34 years old, is approximately to days.
Would you like a detailed breakdown of each calculation step, or do you have further questions?
Here are some related questions:
- How would the prediction interval change with different confidence levels?
- What would be the interval if the standard error, , were lower?
- How does increasing the sample size impact the width of the prediction interval?
- What is the interpretation of the regression slope in this context?
- How does the variability in ages affect the accuracy of predictions?
Tip: Remember, wider intervals imply greater uncertainty; smaller intervals reflect more precise predictions.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Regression Analysis
Prediction Intervals
Statistics
Formulas
Sick Days = 14.310162 - 0.236900 * Age
Prediction Interval: \hat{y} \pm t_{\alpha/2, n-2} \times S_e \sqrt{1 + \frac{1}{n} + \frac{(x - \bar{x})^2}{\sum (x_i - \bar{x})^2}}
Theorems
Prediction Interval Formula for Regression
t-Distribution for Confidence Intervals
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 11-12
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