Math Problem Statement

The world population at the beginning of 1990 was 5.3 billion. Assume that the population continues to grow at the rate of approximately 2%/year and find the function Q(t) that expresses the world population (in billions) as a function of time t (in years), with t = 0 corresponding to the beginning of 1990. (Round your answers to two decimal places.) (a) If the world population continues to grow at approximately 2%/year, find the length of time t2 (in yr) required for the population to double in size. t2 = Correct: Your answer is correct. yr (b) Using the time t2 found in part (a), what would be the world population (in billions of people) if the growth rate were reduced to 1.3%/yr?

Correct: Your answer is correct. billion people

Solution

Part (a) - Finding the population function Q(t)Q(t)

We are given that the world population at the beginning of 1990 was 5.3 billion, and that it is growing at a constant rate of 2% per year. The general form for exponential growth is:

Q(t)=Q0ertQ(t) = Q_0 e^{rt}

Where:

  • Q(t)Q(t) is the population at time tt (in years),
  • Q0Q_0 is the initial population (at t=0t = 0),
  • rr is the growth rate (in decimal form),
  • tt is the time in years.

For this problem:

  • Q0=5.3Q_0 = 5.3 billion (the population at the beginning of 1990),
  • r=0.02r = 0.02 (since the growth rate is 2% per year),
  • t=0t = 0 corresponds to the beginning of 1990.

So, the population function becomes:

Q(t)=5.3e0.02tQ(t) = 5.3 e^{0.02t}

Part (a) - Time required to double the population

To find the time t2t_2 it takes for the population to double, we need to solve for tt when Q(t)=2Q0Q(t) = 2Q_0. Since the initial population Q0Q_0 is 5.3 billion, the population will double to 2×5.3=10.62 \times 5.3 = 10.6 billion. Setting up the equation:

10.6=5.3e0.02t210.6 = 5.3 e^{0.02t_2}

Dividing both sides by 5.3:

2=e0.02t22 = e^{0.02t_2}

Now, take the natural logarithm (ln) of both sides:

ln(2)=0.02t2\ln(2) = 0.02t_2

Solve for t2t_2:

t2=ln(2)0.020.69310.0234.66 yearst_2 = \frac{\ln(2)}{0.02} \approx \frac{0.6931}{0.02} \approx 34.66 \text{ years}

So, the population will double in approximately 34.66 years.

Part (b) - World population with a reduced growth rate of 1.3%

Now, if the growth rate is reduced to 1.3% (or r=0.013r = 0.013), we can use the same exponential growth model but with the new rate. We already know that t2=34.66t_2 = 34.66 years from part (a), so we plug this into the modified equation to find the population after 34.66 years with a growth rate of 1.3%:

Q(t2)=5.3e0.013×34.66Q(t_2) = 5.3 e^{0.013 \times 34.66}

First, calculate the exponent:

0.013×34.660.45060.013 \times 34.66 \approx 0.4506

Now compute the population:

Q(34.66)=5.3e0.45065.3×1.56998.31 billionQ(34.66) = 5.3 e^{0.4506} \approx 5.3 \times 1.5699 \approx 8.31 \text{ billion}

So, if the growth rate were reduced to 1.3% per year, the world population would be approximately 8.31 billion after 34.66 years.


Would you like further explanation on any part of the solution?

Here are 5 related questions you might explore:

  1. How would the formula change if the population growth rate was not constant but varying?
  2. What would be the population after 50 years if the growth rate remains 2%?
  3. Can exponential growth continue indefinitely? Why or why not?
  4. What if the growth rate were negative, how would the function and results change?
  5. How does the exponential growth model compare to logistic growth in terms of long-term predictions?

Tip: When dealing with exponential growth, always ensure that the growth rate is expressed as a decimal in the equation (e.g., 2% becomes 0.02).

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Exponential Growth
Logarithms
Population Growth Modeling

Formulas

Exponential growth formula: Q(t) = Q_0 e^{rt}
Doubling time formula: t_2 = ln(2) / r

Theorems

Properties of Exponential Functions
Logarithmic Identity

Suitable Grade Level

Grade 10-12 (High School) or College Level