Math Problem Statement
In an opinion poll, 9.5% stated that they would have voted for the Center Party if there were "elections today". The margin of error for this was 0.8 percentage points at the 95% confidence level. The result and the margin of error together form a confidence interval. Which statement is correct?
Solution
To determine the correct statement about the confidence interval, we need to understand what the margin of error and confidence interval represent.
Given:
- Sample proportion (p): 9.5% or 0.095
- Margin of error (E): 0.8 percentage points or 0.008
- Confidence level: 95%
Confidence Interval:
The confidence interval is calculated by adding and subtracting the margin of error from the sample proportion.
- Lower bound: or 8.7%
- Upper bound: or 10.3%
Interpretation:
The confidence interval suggests that we are 95% confident that the true proportion of the population that would vote for the Center Party lies between 8.7% and 10.3%.
Correct Statement:
The correct statement is:
- "We are 95% confident that between 8.7% and 10.3% of the population would vote for the Center Party if there were elections today."
Would you like more details or have any other questions?
Here are some related questions you might find useful:
- What does a confidence level of 95% mean in statistics?
- How is the margin of error calculated in a poll?
- What factors affect the width of a confidence interval?
- How does sample size impact the margin of error?
- What is the difference between a confidence interval and a prediction interval?
- How do we interpret confidence intervals in hypothesis testing?
- What would happen to the confidence interval if the confidence level was increased to 99%?
- How do we report confidence intervals in research papers?
Tip: When interpreting confidence intervals, remember that they provide a range of values within which the true population parameter is likely to lie, given a certain level of confidence.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Statistics
Confidence Intervals
Margin of Error
Formulas
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Theorems
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Suitable Grade Level
Advanced High School
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