Math Problem Statement

If X is a Poisson variate such that 2 P(X =2) = P(X=1) find P(X = 0)        

Solution

Given that XX is a Poisson random variable, we can write the probability mass function (PMF) of XX as:

P(X=k)=λkeλk!P(X = k) = \frac{\lambda^k e^{-\lambda}}{k!}

where λ\lambda is the rate parameter of the Poisson distribution.

We are given the equation:

2P(X=2)=P(X=1)2 \cdot P(X = 2) = P(X = 1)

Step 1: Express P(X=2)P(X = 2) and P(X=1)P(X = 1) using the PMF

P(X=2)=λ2eλ2!=λ2eλ2P(X = 2) = \frac{\lambda^2 e^{-\lambda}}{2!} = \frac{\lambda^2 e^{-\lambda}}{2}

P(X=1)=λ1eλ1!=λeλP(X = 1) = \frac{\lambda^1 e^{-\lambda}}{1!} = \lambda e^{-\lambda}

Step 2: Substitute these into the given equation

2λ2eλ2=λeλ2 \cdot \frac{\lambda^2 e^{-\lambda}}{2} = \lambda e^{-\lambda}

Simplifying, we get:

λ2eλ=λeλ\lambda^2 e^{-\lambda} = \lambda e^{-\lambda}

Step 3: Solve for λ\lambda

Since eλe^{-\lambda} is common on both sides, we can divide both sides by eλe^{-\lambda}, assuming λ0\lambda \neq 0:

λ2=λ\lambda^2 = \lambda

Dividing both sides by λ\lambda (assuming λ0\lambda \neq 0):

λ=1\lambda = 1

So, the parameter λ=1\lambda = 1.

Step 4: Find P(X=0)P(X = 0)

Now, we calculate P(X=0)P(X = 0) using the PMF:

P(X=0)=λ0eλ0!=eλ1=e1P(X = 0) = \frac{\lambda^0 e^{-\lambda}}{0!} = \frac{e^{-\lambda}}{1} = e^{-1}

Thus, the probability P(X=0)=e1P(X = 0) = e^{-1}.

Final Answer

P(X=0)=e10.3679P(X = 0) = e^{-1} \approx 0.3679

Would you like more details or have any other questions?

Here are some related questions:

  1. How do you derive the mean and variance of a Poisson distribution?
  2. What are some practical examples of phenomena that follow a Poisson distribution?
  3. How does the Poisson distribution relate to the exponential distribution?
  4. What is the significance of the rate parameter λ\lambda in the Poisson distribution?
  5. How would the calculation change if P(X=3)=P(X=2)P(X = 3) = P(X = 2)?

Tip: The Poisson distribution is often used to model the number of events occurring within a fixed interval of time or space, particularly when events happen independently of each other.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability Theory
Poisson Distribution

Formulas

Poisson probability mass function

Theorems

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Suitable Grade Level

Advanced Mathematics