Math Problem Statement

​A researcher studying public opinion of proposed Social Security changes obtains a simple random sample of 25 adult Americans and asks them whether or not they support the proposed changes. To say that the distribution of ModifyingAbove p with caret​, the sample proportion of adults who respond​ yes, is approximately​ normal, how many more adult Americans does the researcher need to sample in the following​ cases? ​(a) 15​% of all adult Americans support the changes ​(b) 20​% of all adult Americans support the changes Question content area bottom Part 1 ​(a) The researcher must ask    enter your response here more American adults.

Solution

To determine how many more adults the researcher needs to sample for the distribution of the sample proportion p^\hat{p} to be approximately normal, we can use the guideline based on the Central Limit Theorem (CLT) for proportions. The CLT states that the distribution of p^\hat{p} will be approximately normal if both np10np \geq 10 and n(1p)10n(1 - p) \geq 10, where:

  • nn is the sample size
  • pp is the population proportion

The problem provides initial sample information (25 adults) and asks for additional sample size needed. Let's analyze each case:

Part (a): p=0.15p = 0.15

  1. We need np10np \geq 10 and n(1p)10n(1 - p) \geq 10.

  2. Substitute p=0.15p = 0.15:

    • np=0.15nnp = 0.15n
    • n(1p)=0.85nn(1 - p) = 0.85n
  3. Solve each inequality:

    • 0.15n100.15n \geq 10n100.1566.67n \geq \frac{10}{0.15} \approx 66.67
    • 0.85n100.85n \geq 10n100.8511.76n \geq \frac{10}{0.85} \approx 11.76
  4. Since both conditions must be satisfied, we need n66.67n \geq 66.67. Rounding up, we require n=67n = 67.

  5. Since the researcher has already sampled 25 adults, the additional sample size required is: 6725=4267 - 25 = 42

Thus, for p=0.15p = 0.15, the researcher needs to sample 42 more adults.


Part (b): p=0.20p = 0.20

  1. Again, we need np10np \geq 10 and n(1p)10n(1 - p) \geq 10.

  2. Substitute p=0.20p = 0.20:

    • np=0.20nnp = 0.20n
    • n(1p)=0.80nn(1 - p) = 0.80n
  3. Solve each inequality:

    • 0.20n100.20n \geq 10n100.20=50n \geq \frac{10}{0.20} = 50
    • 0.80n100.80n \geq 10n100.80=12.5n \geq \frac{10}{0.80} = 12.5
  4. Since both conditions must be satisfied, we need n50n \geq 50.

  5. Since the researcher has already sampled 25 adults, the additional sample size required is: 5025=2550 - 25 = 25

Therefore, for p=0.20p = 0.20, the researcher needs to sample 25 more adults.


Summary of Results

  • (a) The researcher needs to sample 42 more adults if 15% support the changes.
  • (b) The researcher needs to sample 25 more adults if 20% support the changes.

Do you have any questions or need further explanation?


Here are some related questions that might help deepen understanding:

  1. How would the required sample size change if the support percentage were higher than 20%?
  2. Why is the normal approximation useful in sampling distributions of proportions?
  3. How does increasing the sample size affect the margin of error in estimating population proportions?
  4. What other factors besides sample size might influence the shape of the sampling distribution?
  5. How would the results differ if we used a 90% confidence interval instead of the normal approximation?

Tip: When dealing with proportions, always ensure both npnp and n(1p)n(1 - p) are sufficiently large to apply the normal approximation.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Sampling Distributions
Proportion Sampling
Central Limit Theorem

Formulas

np ≥ 10
n(1 - p) ≥ 10

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem for Proportions

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate Statistics