Math Problem Statement

A research group conducted an extensive survey of 3130 wage and salaried workers on issues ranging from relationships with their bosses to household chores. The data were gathered through hour-long telephone interviews with a nationally representative sample. In response to the question, "What does success mean to you?" 1571 responded, "Personal satisfaction from doing a good job." Let p be the population proportion of all wage and salaried workers who would respond the same way to the stated question. How large a sample is needed if we wish to be 95% confident that the sample percentage of those equating success with personal satisfaction is within 2.9% of the population percentage?

Solution

To determine the sample size required for a given confidence level and margin of error, we can use the following formula for sample size in estimating proportions:

n=(Z2p(1p)E2)n = \left( \frac{Z^2 \cdot p \cdot (1 - p)}{E^2} \right)

Where:

  • nn is the required sample size.
  • ZZ is the Z-value corresponding to the desired confidence level.
  • pp is the estimated population proportion (from the current sample).
  • EE is the desired margin of error.

Step 1: Gather the necessary values.

  • Confidence level: 95%, so the Z-value for a 95% confidence interval is 1.96 (from the Z-distribution table).
  • pp, the estimated population proportion, is based on the 1571 respondents who answered "personal satisfaction" out of 3130, so:

p=157131300.5026p = \frac{1571}{3130} \approx 0.5026

  • Margin of error E=2.9%E = 2.9\%, or 0.029.

Step 2: Plug values into the formula.

n=(1.9620.5026(10.5026)0.0292)n = \left( \frac{1.96^2 \cdot 0.5026 \cdot (1 - 0.5026)}{0.029^2} \right) n=(3.84160.50260.49740.000841)n = \left( \frac{3.8416 \cdot 0.5026 \cdot 0.4974}{0.000841} \right) n=(0.96450.000841)n = \left( \frac{0.9645}{0.000841} \right) n1146.5n \approx 1146.5

Step 3: Round up to the nearest whole number.

Since the sample size must be a whole number, we round up: n1147n \approx 1147

Thus, a sample size of at least 1147 respondents is needed to be 95% confident that the sample percentage is within 2.9% of the population percentage.

Would you like more details, or do you have any further questions?

Here are 5 related questions you might find interesting:

  1. What is the Z-value for a 90% confidence interval, and how would it change the required sample size?
  2. How would the sample size change if the margin of error was reduced to 1%?
  3. What if the proportion pp was assumed to be 0.75 instead of 0.5026?
  4. How does changing the confidence level from 95% to 99% affect the required sample size?
  5. Why is it necessary to round up the calculated sample size?

Tip: The margin of error is inversely proportional to the square root of the sample size, meaning smaller margins of error require significantly larger sample sizes.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Proportion Estimation
Confidence Intervals

Formulas

n = (Z^2 * p * (1 - p)) / E^2

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

College Statistics or Advanced High School Statistics