Math Problem Statement

The problem involves calculating the total variation in y-values, finding the coefficient of determination (r^2), and explaining why the least-squares regression line is considered the 'best fit' line.

Solution

Let's go through each part of the problem shown in the image systematically. We have a dataset and calculations related to the least-squares regression line. Here’s how to solve each question:

Part (a)

The total variation in the sample yy-values is given by the total sum of squares (SST), which is represented by (yiyˉ)2\sum (y_i - \bar{y})^2. For this data, we find the value from the column sum under (yiyˉ)2(y_i - \bar{y})^2, which is 77.8920.

Part (b)

The value r2r^2 is the proportion of the total variation in the sample yy-values that is explained by the linear relationship between xx and yy. It is calculated as: r2=SSRegSSTr^2 = \frac{\text{SSReg}}{\text{SST}} where SSReg=(y^iyˉ)2=63.9627\text{SSReg} = \sum (\hat{y}_i - \bar{y})^2 = 63.9627 and SST=77.8920\text{SST} = 77.8920.

r2=63.962777.89200.82r^2 = \frac{63.9627}{77.8920} \approx 0.82 So, r2r^2 rounded to two decimal places is 0.82.

Part (c)

The least-squares regression line minimizes the sum of the squared residuals, which is the column sum under (yiy^)2(y_i - \hat{y})^2, equal to 15.9561. This is why it’s called the “best fit” line.

Summary Answers

  1. Part (a): Total variation = (yiyˉ)2(y_i - \bar{y})^2, value: 77.8920
  2. Part (b): r2=0.82r^2 = 0.82
  3. Part (c): The minimized quantity is (yiy^)2(y_i - \hat{y})^2, value: 15.9561

Would you like further details or explanations on any of these points?

Relative Questions:

  1. How is the least-squares regression line derived mathematically?
  2. What is the significance of r2r^2 in interpreting the fit of a regression model?
  3. Why is minimizing the sum of squared residuals important in regression analysis?
  4. How can you determine if a regression model is appropriate for the given data?
  5. How does changing the slope or intercept of the line affect the r2r^2 value?

Tip:

Always verify the sums and computations when working with least-squares regression, as small errors in the sums can lead to incorrect conclusions about the model's accuracy.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Regression Analysis
Least-Squares Method
Coefficient of Determination

Formulas

Total Sum of Squares (SST): ∑(y_i - ȳ)^2
Regression Sum of Squares (SSR): ∑(ŷ_i - ȳ)^2
Residual Sum of Squares (SSE): ∑(y_i - ŷ_i)^2
Coefficient of Determination: r^2 = SSR / SST

Theorems

Least-Squares Regression Line Minimizes the Sum of Squared Residuals

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12