Math Problem Statement
use a normal approximation to find the probability of the Indicated number of voters In this case, assume that 144 aged 18-24 are randomly selected showed that among eligible voters aged 18-24, 22% of them voted Probability that exactly 35 voted asnwer rounded to 4 decimal places
Solution
To find the probability that exactly 35 out of 144 voters aged 18-24 voted, using a normal approximation to the binomial distribution, follow these steps:
-
Identify the binomial distribution parameters:
- (the number of trials)
- (the probability of success on each trial)
-
Calculate the mean () and standard deviation ():
-
Convert the binomial probability to a normal probability:
- The continuity correction factor is used to improve the approximation. For the probability of exactly 35 voters, we use the range from 34.5 to 35.5.
- Standardize these values using the z-score formula:
-
Calculate the z-scores:
- For :
- For :
-
Find the probability using the standard normal distribution:
- Use the z-scores to find the probabilities from the standard normal distribution table or a calculator.
-
Calculate the probability:
- The probability that exactly 35 voters voted is the difference between these probabilities:
Thus, the probability that exactly 35 out of 144 voters aged 18-24 voted is approximately .
Would you like more details or have any questions about this problem?
Here are some related questions you might consider:
- How would the probability change if the sample size was 200 instead of 144?
- What is the probability that at most 35 voters out of 144 voted?
- What is the probability that more than 40 voters out of 144 voted?
- How would the result change if the voting percentage was 25% instead of 22%?
- Can we use the normal approximation for a sample size of 50?
Tip: When using the normal approximation for the binomial distribution, ensure that and are both greater than 5 to justify the approximation.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Probability Theory
Binomial Distribution
Normal Approximation
Formulas
Binomial distribution mean and variance
Standard normal distribution
Theorems
Central Limit Theorem
Suitable Grade Level
Undergraduate
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