Math Problem Statement
The mean cost of a five pound bag of shrimp is 50 dollars with a standard deviation of 8 dollars.
If a sample of 56 bags of shrimp is randomly selected, what is the probability that the sample mean would be less than 49.1 dollars? Round your answer to four decimal places.
Solution
To find the probability that the sample mean is less than 49.1 dollars, we can use the Central Limit Theorem. Here’s how we can approach this:
Step 1: Identify the known values
- Population mean (μ) = 50 dollars
- Population standard deviation (σ) = 8 dollars
- Sample size (n) = 56
- Sample mean (x̄) we are testing for = 49.1 dollars
Step 2: Calculate the standard error of the mean (SEM)
The standard error of the mean is calculated as:
Substituting in the values:
Step 3: Calculate the Z-score
The Z-score formula for a sample mean is:
Substituting in our values:
Step 4: Find the probability
Using the Z-score of -0.8424, we can look up the probability in a standard normal distribution table or use a calculator to find the cumulative probability for .
Final Answer
The probability that the sample mean would be less than 49.1 dollars is approximately 0.2005.
Would you like more details, or do you have questions on any step?
Here are five questions that expand on this concept:
- How would the probability change if the standard deviation were larger?
- What would the probability be if the sample size was increased to 100?
- How does the Central Limit Theorem apply to this problem?
- How can this type of probability calculation be used in real-world scenarios?
- What is the significance of using a Z-score in probability calculations?
Tip: For larger sample sizes, the standard error decreases, making the sampling distribution of the mean more concentrated around the population mean.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Statistics
Probability
Normal Distribution
Central Limit Theorem
Z-score
Formulas
Standard Error of the Mean (SEM) = σ / √n
Z-score = (x̄ - μ) / SEM
Theorems
Central Limit Theorem
Suitable Grade Level
College/University (Statistics Course)
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