Math Problem Statement

Calculate This! Consider the length of time it take to find parking space at 9 a.m. follows a normal distribution with a mean of five minutes and a standard deviation of two minutes.

Using the above information answer the following questions:

  1. Find the probability that it takes at least eight minutes to find a parking space.
  2. Seventy percent of the time, it takes more than how many minutes to find a parking space? Show your work!

Solution

The problem describes a normal distribution for the time it takes to find a parking space at 9 a.m., with the following parameters:

  • Mean (μ\mu): 5 minutes
  • Standard deviation (σ\sigma): 2 minutes

We'll address the two parts of the problem step by step.


1. Find the probability that it takes at least eight minutes to find a parking space.

We need to find the probability that X8X \geq 8, where XX is the time to find a parking space.

This can be expressed as:

P(X8)=1P(X<8)P(X \geq 8) = 1 - P(X < 8)

We need to standardize the normal variable by converting it into a standard normal variable (z-score) using the formula:

Z=XμσZ = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}

Where:

  • X=8X = 8 minutes (our target)
  • μ=5\mu = 5 minutes
  • σ=2\sigma = 2 minutes

Now, let's compute the z-score for X=8X = 8:

Z=852=32=1.5Z = \frac{8 - 5}{2} = \frac{3}{2} = 1.5

Next, we look up the probability corresponding to Z=1.5Z = 1.5 using a standard normal table (or a calculator).

The cumulative probability for Z=1.5Z = 1.5 is approximately:

P(Z<1.5)=0.9332P(Z < 1.5) = 0.9332

Thus:

P(X8)=1P(Z<1.5)=10.9332=0.0668P(X \geq 8) = 1 - P(Z < 1.5) = 1 - 0.9332 = 0.0668

So, the probability that it takes at least eight minutes to find a parking space is approximately 0.0668 (or 6.68%).


2. Seventy percent of the time, it takes more than how many minutes to find a parking space?

Here, we are looking for the time XX such that 70% of the time, it takes more than that time to find a parking space. This implies we are searching for the 30th percentile (since 70% of the time is more than this value).

Let XX be the value such that:

P(X>k)=0.70    P(X<k)=0.30P(X > k) = 0.70 \implies P(X < k) = 0.30

Using the z-score formula, we can find the corresponding z-score for which 30% of the data lies to the left. From standard normal distribution tables (or a calculator), the z-score for the 30th percentile is approximately:

Z=0.524Z = -0.524

Now, we use the z-score formula to solve for kk (the time):

Z=kμσZ = \frac{k - \mu}{\sigma}

Substitute the values of ZZ, μ\mu, and σ\sigma:

0.524=k52-0.524 = \frac{k - 5}{2}

Now, solve for kk:

k5=0.524×2k - 5 = -0.524 \times 2 k5=1.048k - 5 = -1.048 k=51.048=3.952k = 5 - 1.048 = 3.952

Thus, 30% of the time, it takes less than 3.95 minutes to find a parking space. Therefore, 70% of the time, it takes more than 3.95 minutes to find a parking space.


Summary of Results:

  1. The probability that it takes at least 8 minutes to find a parking space is approximately 0.0668 (6.68%).
  2. Seventy percent of the time, it takes more than 3.95 minutes to find a parking space.

Do you want more details or have any questions about these calculations?

5 Related Questions:

  1. How would the probabilities change if the standard deviation increased to 3 minutes?
  2. What is the probability that it takes between 4 and 6 minutes to find a parking space?
  3. How would you find the median time to find a parking space using this distribution?
  4. If you needed to find a space 95% of the time within a certain number of minutes, how would you calculate that value?
  5. What would the probability be if you were to find a parking space in less than 2 minutes?

Tip:

When solving normal distribution problems, always convert to z-scores first to make use of standard tables or software tools for accurate probabilities!

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Normal Distribution
Percentiles
Z-scores

Formulas

Z = (X - μ) / σ
P(X ≥ k) = 1 - P(X < k)

Theorems

Properties of Normal Distribution
Z-score Conversion

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12