Math Problem Statement
The yearly gain of an aggressive mutual fund is normally distributed with a mean gain of 11.5% and a standard deviation 2.7%. What is the probability the mutual fund will have a yearly gain of less than 10.3% ?
Write only a number as your answer. Round to three decimal places (for example 0.554). Write answer as a proportion, not as a percentage.
Your Answer:
Solution
To solve this, we need to standardize the given value (10.3%) using the Z-score formula:
Where:
Now, let's calculate the Z-score:
Next, we find the cumulative probability corresponding to this Z-score using the standard normal distribution.
For , the cumulative probability is approximately 0.328.
Thus, the probability that the mutual fund will have a yearly gain of less than 10.3% is 0.328.
Let me know if you'd like further explanation or more questions!
Further questions:
- How would the probability change if the mean gain were 12% instead of 11.5%?
- What is the Z-score for a yearly gain of 8%?
- How do you interpret the Z-score in the context of this problem?
- What would happen to the probability if the standard deviation were increased to 3%?
- How can we apply this process to find the probability of earning more than a certain gain?
Tip: You can use a Z-table or a calculator to find the cumulative probability for any Z-score when dealing with normal distributions.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Normal Distribution
Z-Score
Probability
Formulas
Z = (X - μ) / σ
Theorems
Standard Normal Distribution Theorem
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 10-12
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