Math Problem Statement

The yearly gain of an aggressive mutual fund is normally distributed with a mean gain of 11.5% and a standard deviation 2.7%. What is the probability the mutual fund will have a yearly gain of less than 10.3% ?

Write only a number as your answer. Round to three decimal places (for example 0.554). Write answer as a proportion, not as a percentage.

Your Answer:

Solution

To solve this, we need to standardize the given value (10.3%) using the Z-score formula:

Z=XμσZ = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}

Where:

  • X=10.3%X = 10.3\%
  • μ=11.5%\mu = 11.5\%
  • σ=2.7%\sigma = 2.7\%

Now, let's calculate the Z-score:

Z=10.311.52.7=1.22.70.444Z = \frac{10.3 - 11.5}{2.7} = \frac{-1.2}{2.7} \approx -0.444

Next, we find the cumulative probability corresponding to this Z-score using the standard normal distribution.

For Z=0.444Z = -0.444, the cumulative probability is approximately 0.328.

Thus, the probability that the mutual fund will have a yearly gain of less than 10.3% is 0.328.

Let me know if you'd like further explanation or more questions!


Further questions:

  1. How would the probability change if the mean gain were 12% instead of 11.5%?
  2. What is the Z-score for a yearly gain of 8%?
  3. How do you interpret the Z-score in the context of this problem?
  4. What would happen to the probability if the standard deviation were increased to 3%?
  5. How can we apply this process to find the probability of earning more than a certain gain?

Tip: You can use a Z-table or a calculator to find the cumulative probability for any Z-score when dealing with normal distributions.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Normal Distribution
Z-Score
Probability

Formulas

Z = (X - μ) / σ

Theorems

Standard Normal Distribution Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12