Math Problem Statement
Imagine that you are applying for jobs. The probability that a submitted application yeilds an interview is 20%. If you apply for five jobs, what is the probability that you get less than two interviews?
Solution
To solve this problem, we can model it as a binomial distribution. In a binomial distribution, the probability of success (getting an interview) is , and the probability of failure (not getting an interview) is . You are applying for 5 jobs, so the number of trials is .
We need to find the probability of getting less than two interviews, which means getting either 0 or 1 interview. This is the sum of the probabilities for 0 interviews and 1 interview.
The probability mass function (PMF) of a binomial distribution is given by:
where:
- is the number of trials,
- is the number of successes (in this case, the number of interviews),
- is the probability of success,
- is the binomial coefficient, representing the number of ways to choose successes from trials.
We need to calculate and , then add them together.
Step 1: Probability of 0 interviews
Step 2: Probability of 1 interview
Step 3: Total probability
Now, we sum these probabilities to find the probability of getting less than two interviews:
Thus, the probability of getting less than two interviews is approximately 0.737 or 73.7%.
Would you like further details or have any questions?
Here are 5 follow-up questions you might find interesting:
- What is the probability of getting exactly 2 interviews?
- How would the probability change if you applied for 10 jobs instead of 5?
- What is the expected number of interviews when applying for 5 jobs?
- How would the calculation change if the probability of an interview were 30% instead of 20%?
- Can we find the probability of getting at least one interview?
Tip: The binomial distribution is often used to model the number of successes in a fixed number of independent trials, such as flipping a coin or applying for jobs.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Probability
Binomial Distribution
Formulas
P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1 - p)^{n - k}
P(X < 2) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1)
Theorems
Binomial Probability Theorem
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 10-12
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