Math Problem Statement

An ordinary (fair) coin is tossed 3 times. Outcomes are thus triples of "heads" (h) and "tails" (t) which we write hth, ttt, etc. For each outcome, let N be the random variable counting the number of tails in each outcome. For example, if the outcome is htt, then =Nhtt2. Suppose that the random variable X is defined in terms of N as follows: =X−N−N22. The values of X are given in the table below. Outcome hth ttt tth thh hhh tht hht htt Value of X −2 −8 −4 −2 −2 −4 −2 −4 Calculate the probabilities P=Xx of the probability distribution of X. First, fill in the first row with the values of X. Then fill in the appropriate probabilities in the second row. Value x of X P=Xx

Solution

To calculate the probabilities P(X=x)P(X = x), we first need to understand the distribution of the values of XX and how often each value appears in the set of all possible outcomes of tossing a fair coin three times.

Step 1: List the outcomes and their corresponding values of XX

From the problem statement, we have:

OutcomeValue of XX
hth-2
ttt-8
tth-4
thh-2
hhh-2
tht-4
hht-2
htt-4

Step 2: Calculate the probabilities

The probability of each outcome in a fair coin toss is the same. Since there are 23=82^3 = 8 possible outcomes, the probability of any specific outcome is:

P(any specific outcome)=18P(\text{any specific outcome}) = \frac{1}{8}

Now, we group the outcomes based on their corresponding value of XX.

  • For X=2X = -2, the outcomes are: hth, thh, hhh, hht. There are 4 outcomes, so the probability is: P(X=2)=48=12P(X = -2) = \frac{4}{8} = \frac{1}{2}

  • For X=4X = -4, the outcomes are: tth, tht, htt. There are 3 outcomes, so the probability is: P(X=4)=38P(X = -4) = \frac{3}{8}

  • For X=8X = -8, the outcome is: ttt. There is 1 outcome, so the probability is: P(X=8)=18P(X = -8) = \frac{1}{8}

Step 3: Fill in the table

Now we can fill in the table with the values of XX and the corresponding probabilities:

Value xx of XX-8-4-2
Probability P(X=x)P(X = x)1/83/84/8

Thus, the probability distribution of XX is:

  • P(X=2)=48=12P(X = -2) = \frac{4}{8} = \frac{1}{2}
  • P(X=4)=38P(X = -4) = \frac{3}{8}
  • P(X=8)=18P(X = -8) = \frac{1}{8}

Would you like details on how the grouping was done, or have any questions about this process?

5 Relative Questions:

  1. How would the probabilities change if the coin were biased?
  2. Can you calculate the expected value of XX?
  3. What is the variance of XX for this probability distribution?
  4. How would the results differ if the coin were tossed 4 times instead of 3?
  5. What is the probability that X4X \leq -4?

Tip:

When working with probability distributions, always ensure that the sum of all probabilities equals 1.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability theory
Random variables
Discrete probability distributions

Formulas

X = −N − N^2
P(outcome) = 1 / 8 (for fair coin with 3 tosses)
P(X = x) = (number of outcomes corresponding to X) / 8

Theorems

Probability Distribution
Law of Total Probability

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 9-12