Math Problem Statement
An ordinary (fair) coin is tossed 3 times. Outcomes are thus triples of "heads" (h) and "tails" (t) which we write hth, ttt, etc. For each outcome, let N be the random variable counting the number of tails in each outcome. For example, if the outcome is htt, then =Nhtt2. Suppose that the random variable X is defined in terms of N as follows: =X−N−N22. The values of X are given in the table below. Outcome hth ttt tth thh hhh tht hht htt Value of X −2 −8 −4 −2 −2 −4 −2 −4 Calculate the probabilities P=Xx of the probability distribution of X. First, fill in the first row with the values of X. Then fill in the appropriate probabilities in the second row. Value x of X P=Xx
Solution
To calculate the probabilities , we first need to understand the distribution of the values of and how often each value appears in the set of all possible outcomes of tossing a fair coin three times.
Step 1: List the outcomes and their corresponding values of
From the problem statement, we have:
Outcome | Value of |
---|---|
hth | -2 |
ttt | -8 |
tth | -4 |
thh | -2 |
hhh | -2 |
tht | -4 |
hht | -2 |
htt | -4 |
Step 2: Calculate the probabilities
The probability of each outcome in a fair coin toss is the same. Since there are possible outcomes, the probability of any specific outcome is:
Now, we group the outcomes based on their corresponding value of .
-
For , the outcomes are: hth, thh, hhh, hht. There are 4 outcomes, so the probability is:
-
For , the outcomes are: tth, tht, htt. There are 3 outcomes, so the probability is:
-
For , the outcome is: ttt. There is 1 outcome, so the probability is:
Step 3: Fill in the table
Now we can fill in the table with the values of and the corresponding probabilities:
Value of | -8 | -4 | -2 |
---|---|---|---|
Probability | 1/8 | 3/8 | 4/8 |
Thus, the probability distribution of is:
Would you like details on how the grouping was done, or have any questions about this process?
5 Relative Questions:
- How would the probabilities change if the coin were biased?
- Can you calculate the expected value of ?
- What is the variance of for this probability distribution?
- How would the results differ if the coin were tossed 4 times instead of 3?
- What is the probability that ?
Tip:
When working with probability distributions, always ensure that the sum of all probabilities equals 1.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Probability theory
Random variables
Discrete probability distributions
Formulas
X = −N − N^2
P(outcome) = 1 / 8 (for fair coin with 3 tosses)
P(X = x) = (number of outcomes corresponding to X) / 8
Theorems
Probability Distribution
Law of Total Probability
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 9-12