Math Problem Statement

Средний рост студентов в группе составляет 168 см, а дисперсия равна 145 см^2. Оценить с помощью второго неравенства Чебышёва вероятность того, что у наудачу выбранного студента рост отличается от среднего не меньше, чем на 23 см.

Solution

To solve the problem based on the Chebyshev inequality given in the image, let's analyze the situation step by step.


Problem Setup:

  • The mean height of students is μ=168cm\mu = 168 \, \text{cm}.
  • The variance is σ2=145cm2\sigma^2 = 145 \, \text{cm}^2, so the standard deviation is σ=145cm12.04cm\sigma = \sqrt{145} \, \text{cm} \approx 12.04 \, \text{cm}.
  • We need to use Chebyshev's inequality to find an upper bound for the probability that a randomly selected student's height differs from the mean by at least 23 cm: P(X16823)P(|X - 168| \geq 23)

Chebyshev's Inequality Formula:

Chebyshev's inequality states: P(Xμkσ)1k2,P(|X - \mu| \geq k \sigma) \leq \frac{1}{k^2}, where k=distance from the meanσk = \frac{\text{distance from the mean}}{\sigma}.


Step 1: Calculate kk:

The given distance from the mean is 23 cm. Using the standard deviation σ=14512.04\sigma = \sqrt{145} \approx 12.04, calculate kk: k=23σ=2312.041.91.k = \frac{23}{\sigma} = \frac{23}{12.04} \approx 1.91.


Step 2: Apply Chebyshev's Inequality:

Plug k=1.91k = 1.91 into the inequality: P(X16823)1k2.P(|X - 168| \geq 23) \leq \frac{1}{k^2}. Calculate 1k2\frac{1}{k^2}: k2=(1.91)23.65,1k213.650.274.k^2 = (1.91)^2 \approx 3.65, \quad \frac{1}{k^2} \approx \frac{1}{3.65} \approx 0.274.


Final Answer:

The probability that a randomly chosen student's height differs from the mean by at least 23 cm is bounded by: P(X16823)0.274.P(|X - 168| \geq 23) \leq 0.274.

This means the probability is at most 27.4%27.4\%.


Would you like further clarification or details on this problem?

Related Questions to Expand Understanding:

  1. What is the significance of Chebyshev's inequality in probability theory?
  2. How does the bound change if the variance is smaller (e.g., σ2=100\sigma^2 = 100)?
  3. How would this problem differ if we assumed a normal distribution instead of applying Chebyshev's inequality?
  4. Why is Chebyshev's inequality used for any distribution, and how does it differ from distribution-specific methods?
  5. What does the value kk represent in terms of standard deviation and distance from the mean?

Tip:

Chebyshev's inequality is very general because it does not assume a specific distribution, but its bounds can be loose compared to methods for specific distributions like the normal distribution.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability theory
Statistics
Chebyshev's inequality

Formulas

P(|X - μ| ≥ kσ) ≤ 1/k^2
k = (distance from the mean) / σ

Theorems

Chebyshev's inequality

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate Level (Statistics or Probability Courses)