Math Problem Statement

A gas station attendant claims that 65% of all cars in the city are equipped with studs. If 200 cars in the city are randomly selected, what is the probability that at least 130 of them will be equipped with studs?

Solution

This problem involves using the normal approximation to the binomial distribution since n=200n = 200 is large. The random variable XX, representing the number of cars equipped with studs, follows a binomial distribution:

XBinomial(n=200,p=0.65).X \sim \text{Binomial}(n=200, p=0.65).

We need to find P(X130)P(X \geq 130).

Step 1: Check conditions for normal approximation

The normal approximation to the binomial distribution is valid if both npnp and n(1p)n(1-p) are greater than 5: np=200×0.65=130,n(1p)=200×0.35=70.np = 200 \times 0.65 = 130, \quad n(1-p) = 200 \times 0.35 = 70. Both conditions are satisfied.

Step 2: Compute mean and standard deviation

For a binomial distribution: μ=np=130,σ=np(1p)=200×0.65×0.356.7912.\mu = np = 130, \quad \sigma = \sqrt{np(1-p)} = \sqrt{200 \times 0.65 \times 0.35} \approx 6.7912.

Step 3: Apply the normal approximation

Under the normal approximation: XN(μ=130,σ2=6.79122).X \sim N(\mu = 130, \sigma^2 = 6.7912^2).

To find P(X130)P(X \geq 130), apply the continuity correction: P(X130)P(Z130130+0.56.7912)=P(Z0.56.7912).P(X \geq 130) \approx P\left(Z \geq \frac{130 - 130 + 0.5}{6.7912}\right) = P\left(Z \geq \frac{0.5}{6.7912}\right).

Step 4: Standardize and compute the z-score

Z=0.56.79120.0736.Z = \frac{0.5}{6.7912} \approx 0.0736.

Using standard normal tables or a calculator: P(Z0.0736)=1P(Z0.0736).P(Z \geq 0.0736) = 1 - P(Z \leq 0.0736).

From the standard normal table: P(Z0.0736)0.5294.P(Z \leq 0.0736) \approx 0.5294.

Thus: P(Z0.0736)=10.5294=0.4706.P(Z \geq 0.0736) = 1 - 0.5294 = 0.4706.

Final Answer:

The probability that at least 130 of the 200 cars are equipped with studs is approximately: P(X \geq 130) \approx 0.4706 \, \text{(47.06%)}.

Let me know if you want more details or have any questions!

Related Questions:

  1. What would the probability be if we increased the sample size to 300 cars?
  2. How does the probability change if the proportion of cars with studs increases to 70%?
  3. Can you calculate the probability that exactly 130 cars have studs using the binomial formula?
  4. What is the z-score for X=125X = 125 in this context?
  5. How would you simulate this problem using random numbers?

Tip:

When using the normal approximation to the binomial, always remember to apply the continuity correction for more accurate results.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Binomial Distribution
Normal Approximation to the Binomial
Standard Normal Distribution
Continuity Correction

Formulas

Mean of binomial distribution: μ = np
Standard deviation of binomial distribution: σ = √(np(1-p))
Z-score formula: Z = (X - μ) / σ

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem
Properties of the Standard Normal Distribution

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12