Math Problem Statement
A new math-help program comes with a guarantee that it will improve the math scores of 3 in every 10 university students. A university decides to use the program with a cohort of 18 students (selected independently and at random from the student body).
What is the approximate probability that at least 5 of these students will improve their math test scores? (answers rounded to 3 decimals)
0.7220.278 0.5340.4660.667
Solution
This problem can be modeled as a binomial distribution, where:
- The total number of trials (the 18 students),
- The probability of success (i.e., a student improving their math score) (since 3 in every 10 students improve),
- The random variable represents the number of students who improve their scores, and we are looking for , which is the probability that at least 5 students improve.
To solve for , we can first calculate the probability that fewer than 5 students improve their scores, , and subtract this from 1.
Let's calculate this step by step using the binomial probability formula:
Where is the binomial coefficient. Then, we sum the probabilities for , and subtract this from 1 to find .
I'll now calculate this probability.The approximate probability that at least 5 of the 18 students will improve their math scores is 0.667.
Would you like more details on this calculation or have any other questions?
Here are 5 related questions to expand on this concept:
- How would the probability change if the number of students increased to 25?
- What is the probability that exactly 7 students will improve their math scores?
- Can you calculate the expected number of students who will improve their scores?
- How does varying the probability of success (p) affect the outcome?
- What is the standard deviation of the number of students improving their scores?
Tip: The binomial distribution is useful when you have independent trials with a fixed probability of success, like flipping coins or modeling student performance.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Probability
Binomial Distribution
Random Variables
Formulas
P(X = k) = C(n, k) * p^k * (1 - p)^(n - k)
P(X ≥ 5) = 1 - P(X < 5)
Theorems
Binomial Probability Theorem
Suitable Grade Level
University level (Undergraduate)
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