Math Problem Statement
A pharmaceutical company receives large shipments of ibuprofen tablets and uses this acceptance sampling plan: randomly select and test 29 tablets, then accept the whole batch if there is at most one that doesn't meet the required specifications. If a particular shipment of thousands of ibuprofen tablets actually has a 1% rate of defects, what is the probability that this whole shipment will be accepted?
(Report answer as a decimal value accurate to four decimal places.) P(accept shipment) =
Solution
To solve this, we need to calculate the probability that a shipment of ibuprofen tablets is accepted under the given sampling plan, where the acceptance rule is:
- Randomly select 29 tablets.
- Accept the shipment if at most 1 tablet is defective.
The shipment is accepted if 0 or 1 defective tablet is found in the sample of 29. The number of defective tablets follows a binomial distribution, where:
- (the sample size),
- (the probability that any individual tablet is defective),
- is the random variable representing the number of defective tablets in the sample.
The probability that exactly defective tablets are found follows the binomial probability mass function (PMF):
For this case, the shipment is accepted if . So, we need to calculate:
Step 1: Calculate
Using a calculator:
Step 2: Calculate
Using a calculator:
Step 3: Calculate the total probability
Thus, the probability that the shipment will be accepted is approximately:
So, the final answer is:
Would you like any further details or explanations on the calculation? Here's a set of related questions for further study:
- What is the expected number of defective tablets in the sample of 29?
- How would the acceptance probability change if the defect rate were 5% instead of 1%?
- What is the standard deviation of the number of defective tablets in the sample?
- How does the binomial distribution behave when becomes very large and becomes very small?
- What are the implications of changing the acceptance criteria (e.g., accepting shipments with 2 defective tablets instead of 1)?
Tip: When calculating binomial probabilities, always use the binomial formula directly for small values of , but for large and small , consider using the Poisson approximation.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Probability
Binomial Distribution
Formulas
P(X = k) = C(n, k) * p^k * (1 - p)^(n - k)
P(accept shipment) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1)
Theorems
Binomial Theorem
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 10-12
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