Math Problem Statement
Consider writing onto a computer disk and then sending it through a certifier that counts the number of missing pulses. Suppose this number X has a Poisson distribution with parameter 𝜇 =0.5. (Round your answers to three decimal places.)
(a) What is the probability that a disk has exactly one missing pulse?
(b) What is the probability that a disk has at least two missing pulses?
(c) If two disks are independently selected, what is the probability that neither contains a missing pulse?
Solution
We are given a Poisson distribution with parameter , where represents the number of missing pulses on a disk. The probability mass function (PMF) for a Poisson distribution is given by:
where:
- ,
- is the number of missing pulses (a non-negative integer),
- is the base of the natural logarithm.
(a) Probability that a disk has exactly one missing pulse:
We need to calculate , which is the probability of exactly one missing pulse:
Let's compute this.
Thus, the probability that a disk has exactly one missing pulse is approximately:
(b) Probability that a disk has at least two missing pulses:
The probability of having at least two missing pulses is . To compute this, we can use the complement rule:
We already know . Now, let's calculate :
Now we can find :
Thus, the probability that a disk has at least two missing pulses is approximately:
(c) Probability that neither of two disks contains a missing pulse:
The probability that a disk contains no missing pulses is , which we have already computed:
Since the two disks are independently selected, the probability that neither contains a missing pulse is the product of the probabilities for each disk:
Thus, the probability that neither of the two disks contains a missing pulse is approximately:
Summary of results:
(a) The probability that a disk has exactly one missing pulse is .
(b) The probability that a disk has at least two missing pulses is .
(c) The probability that neither of two disks contains a missing pulse is .
Would you like more details on any of these steps or have any questions?
Here are 5 related questions to deepen your understanding:
- What is the probability that a disk has zero missing pulses?
- How does the probability change if the Poisson parameter is increased to 1?
- What is the expected number of missing pulses on a disk?
- If five disks are selected, what is the probability that exactly three disks have no missing pulses?
- How does the independence assumption between disks affect the calculations?
Tip: The Poisson distribution is often used to model rare events occurring over a fixed interval, such as missing pulses in a disk or defects in a manufactured item.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Probability
Poisson Distribution
Complement Rule
Formulas
P(X = k) = (𝜇^k * e^(-𝜇)) / k!
P(X ≥ 2) = 1 - P(X = 0) - P(X = 1)
P(neither disk has a missing pulse) = P(X = 0) * P(X = 0)
Theorems
Poisson Distribution Theorem
Suitable Grade Level
Undergraduate Probability
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