Math Problem Statement

Steel rods are manufactured with a mean length of

2424

centimeter​ (cm). Because of variability in the manufacturing​ process, the lengths of the rods are approximately normally distributed with a standard deviation of

0.090.09

cm. If an order comes in for

10 comma 00010,000

steel​ rods, how many rods should the plant manager expect to manufacture if the order states that all rods must be between

23.923.9

cm and

24.124.1

​cm?

Solution

To solve this problem, we need to calculate the proportion of steel rods that have lengths between 23.923.9 cm and 24.124.1 cm, given that the lengths are normally distributed with:

  • Mean (μ\mu) = 24.2424.24 cm
  • Standard deviation (σ\sigma) = 0.090.09 cm

The number of rods within this range is then determined by multiplying the proportion by the total order size (10,00010,000).


Steps to Solve:

  1. Convert the lengths to zz-scores: The formula for the zz-score is: z=xμσz = \frac{x - \mu}{\sigma} For 23.923.9 cm: z1=23.924.240.09=0.340.09=3.78z_1 = \frac{23.9 - 24.24}{0.09} = \frac{-0.34}{0.09} = -3.78 For 24.124.1 cm: z2=24.124.240.09=0.140.09=1.56z_2 = \frac{24.1 - 24.24}{0.09} = \frac{-0.14}{0.09} = -1.56

  2. Find the cumulative probabilities: Using the standard normal distribution table:

    • P(Z<3.78)0.00008P(Z < -3.78) \approx 0.00008
    • P(Z<1.56)0.0594P(Z < -1.56) \approx 0.0594

    The probability of a rod being between 23.923.9 cm and 24.124.1 cm is: P(3.78<Z<1.56)=P(Z<1.56)P(Z<3.78)P(-3.78 < Z < -1.56) = P(Z < -1.56) - P(Z < -3.78) P(3.78<Z<1.56)=0.05940.00008=0.05932P(-3.78 < Z < -1.56) = 0.0594 - 0.00008 = 0.05932

  3. Calculate the number of rods: Multiply the proportion of rods in the range by the total number of rods: Number of rods=0.05932×10,000=593.2\text{Number of rods} = 0.05932 \times 10,000 = 593.2

    The plant manager should expect to manufacture approximately 593 rods that meet the specification.


Final Answer:

The plant manager can expect approximately 593 rods to meet the specified length requirements.


Do you have any questions or need further details?
Here are 5 related questions for deeper exploration:

  1. How do we use a standard normal distribution table effectively?
  2. What happens to the probability if the standard deviation changes?
  3. How is the concept of a zz-score used in quality control processes?
  4. Can we use software to compute these probabilities more accurately?
  5. How does increasing the sample size affect the accuracy of the prediction?

Tip: Always double-check zz-score calculations, especially when working with extremely small probabilities, to ensure accuracy.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Normal Distribution
Probability
Statistics

Formulas

z = (x - μ) / σ
P(a < X < b) = P(Z < z2) - P(Z < z1)

Theorems

Properties of Normal Distribution
Standard Normal Distribution Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 11-12, College Introductory Statistics