Math Problem Statement

A population of values has a normal distribution with μ = 188.1 and σ = 97.2. If a random sample of size n = 21 is selected, a) Find the probability that a single randomly selected value is greater than 162.6. b) Find the probability that a sample of size n = 21 is randomly selected with a mean greater than 162.6.

Solution

Let's solve each part of the question step-by-step.

Given Data

  • Population mean (μ\mu) = 188.1
  • Population standard deviation (σ\sigma) = 97.2
  • Sample size (nn) = 21

Part (a)

We need to find the probability that a single randomly selected value is greater than 162.6.

  1. Calculate the Z-score for a single value XX: Z=XμσZ = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} Plugging in the values: Z=162.6188.197.2=25.597.20.2623Z = \frac{162.6 - 188.1}{97.2} = \frac{-25.5}{97.2} \approx -0.2623

  2. Find P(X>162.6)P(X > 162.6): This is equivalent to finding P(Z>0.2623)P(Z > -0.2623).

    Using the standard normal distribution table, we find P(Z<0.2623)0.3966P(Z < -0.2623) \approx 0.3966.

    Therefore, P(X>162.6)=10.3966=0.6034P(X > 162.6) = 1 - 0.3966 = 0.6034.

    So, the answer to part (a) is approximately: P(X>162.6)0.6034P(X > 162.6) \approx 0.6034

Part (b)

Now we need to find the probability that a sample mean (MM) of size n=21n = 21 is greater than 162.6.

  1. Calculate the standard error of the mean (σM\sigma_M): σM=σn=97.22121.22\sigma_M = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} = \frac{97.2}{\sqrt{21}} \approx 21.22

  2. Calculate the Z-score for the sample mean MM: Z=MμσM=162.6188.121.221.2024Z = \frac{M - \mu}{\sigma_M} = \frac{162.6 - 188.1}{21.22} \approx -1.2024

  3. Find P(M>162.6)P(M > 162.6): This is equivalent to finding P(Z>1.2024)P(Z > -1.2024).

    Using the standard normal distribution table, we find P(Z<1.2024)0.1143P(Z < -1.2024) \approx 0.1143.

    Therefore, P(M>162.6)=10.1143=0.8857P(M > 162.6) = 1 - 0.1143 = 0.8857.

    So, the answer to part (b) is approximately: P(M>162.6)0.8857P(M > 162.6) \approx 0.8857

Summary of Answers

  • (a) P(X>162.6)0.6034P(X > 162.6) \approx 0.6034
  • (b) P(M>162.6)0.8857P(M > 162.6) \approx 0.8857

Would you like further details on any step or clarification on how to interpret these probabilities?

Additional Related Questions

  1. What would happen to P(X>162.6)P(X > 162.6) if the mean μ\mu were lower?
  2. How does the sample size affect the probability in part (b)?
  3. What is the probability that a single randomly selected value is less than 162.6?
  4. How would the answers change if the standard deviation were smaller?
  5. What would be the Z-score if the sample mean MM were exactly equal to 188.1?

Tip:

When calculating probabilities involving sample means, always adjust the standard deviation by dividing by the square root of the sample size, as this accounts for the Central Limit Theorem.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Normal Distribution
Z-Scores
Probability
Sampling Distribution

Formulas

Z = (X - μ) / σ
Z for sample mean = (M - μ) / (σ / sqrt(n))

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem
Standard Normal Distribution

Suitable Grade Level

College/University Level