Math Problem Statement
Solution
The exercise in the image involves a scenario where the completion time for IRS Form 1040 follows a normal distribution. Let's break down and solve the questions step by step:
1. Single Taxpayer Case
The question asks to find the probability that a randomly selected taxpayer took more than 13.28 hours to complete the form. We're given:
- Mean () = 12.76 hours
- Standard deviation () = 1.9 hours
- The time we're interested in is 13.28 hours.
Steps:
-
Z-Score Calculation: The Z-score formula is:
Plugging in the values:
This Z-score is around 0.2737.
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Finding Probability: To find the probability that a taxpayer took more than 13.28 hours, we use the cumulative distribution function (CDF). From the Z-table or a calculator, the probability associated with is approximately 0.608. Since we're looking for the area to the right (i.e., more than 13.28 hours), the probability is:
So, the probability is 0.392 or 39.2%.
2. 65 Taxpayers Case
The second part asks for the probability that, on average, 65 taxpayers took more than 13.28 hours.
- Mean () = 12.76 hours
- Standard deviation for the sample mean = , where .
Thus, the new standard deviation is:
Steps:
- Z-Score Calculation:
Using the same formula for Z-score, but with the new standard deviation:
- Finding Probability:
Using the Z-table, the probability associated with is approximately 0.986. Since we want the probability of taking more than 13.28 hours, we subtract this from 1:
Thus, the probability is approximately 0.014 or 1.4%.
Would you like more details on any step or a further explanation?
5 Questions to Explore Further:
- How does the sample size affect the standard deviation in this type of problem?
- What is the significance of using Z-scores in normal distribution problems?
- How would the probability change if the standard deviation were larger?
- Can you explain how the central limit theorem applies in the second part of this problem?
- How can we use software like Excel or calculators to quickly find Z-scores and probabilities?
Tip:
Remember, as the sample size increases, the distribution of the sample mean becomes more concentrated around the population mean, which is why the standard deviation decreases.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Normal Distribution
Z-Scores
Probability
Formulas
Z = (X - μ) / σ
Standard deviation for sample mean: σ_new = σ / √n
Theorems
Central Limit Theorem
Suitable Grade Level
Undergraduate Level
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