Math Problem Statement

According to the Internal Revenue Service, the length of time for an individual to complete IRS Form 1040 is normally distributed with a mean of 12.76 hours and a standard deviation of 1.9 hours. The questions ask to calculate the probability that one taxpayer or 65 taxpayers took longer than 13.28 hours.

Solution

The exercise in the image involves a scenario where the completion time for IRS Form 1040 follows a normal distribution. Let's break down and solve the questions step by step:

1. Single Taxpayer Case

The question asks to find the probability that a randomly selected taxpayer took more than 13.28 hours to complete the form. We're given:

  • Mean (μ\mu) = 12.76 hours
  • Standard deviation (σ\sigma) = 1.9 hours
  • The time we're interested in is 13.28 hours.

Steps:

  1. Z-Score Calculation: The Z-score formula is:

    Z=XμσZ = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}

    Plugging in the values:

    Z=13.2812.761.90.2737Z = \frac{13.28 - 12.76}{1.9} \approx 0.2737

    This Z-score is around 0.2737.

  2. Finding Probability: To find the probability that a taxpayer took more than 13.28 hours, we use the cumulative distribution function (CDF). From the Z-table or a calculator, the probability associated with Z=0.2737Z = 0.2737 is approximately 0.608. Since we're looking for the area to the right (i.e., more than 13.28 hours), the probability is:

    P(X>13.28)=10.608=0.392P(X > 13.28) = 1 - 0.608 = 0.392

    So, the probability is 0.392 or 39.2%.

2. 65 Taxpayers Case

The second part asks for the probability that, on average, 65 taxpayers took more than 13.28 hours.

  • Mean (μ\mu) = 12.76 hours
  • Standard deviation for the sample mean = σn\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}, where n=65n = 65.

Thus, the new standard deviation is:

σnew=1.9650.2357\sigma_{\text{new}} = \frac{1.9}{\sqrt{65}} \approx 0.2357

Steps:

  1. Z-Score Calculation:

Using the same formula for Z-score, but with the new standard deviation:

Z=13.2812.760.23572.203Z = \frac{13.28 - 12.76}{0.2357} \approx 2.203

  1. Finding Probability:

Using the Z-table, the probability associated with Z=2.203Z = 2.203 is approximately 0.986. Since we want the probability of taking more than 13.28 hours, we subtract this from 1:

P(X>13.28)=10.986=0.014P(X > 13.28) = 1 - 0.986 = 0.014

Thus, the probability is approximately 0.014 or 1.4%.


Would you like more details on any step or a further explanation?

5 Questions to Explore Further:

  1. How does the sample size affect the standard deviation in this type of problem?
  2. What is the significance of using Z-scores in normal distribution problems?
  3. How would the probability change if the standard deviation were larger?
  4. Can you explain how the central limit theorem applies in the second part of this problem?
  5. How can we use software like Excel or calculators to quickly find Z-scores and probabilities?

Tip:

Remember, as the sample size increases, the distribution of the sample mean becomes more concentrated around the population mean, which is why the standard deviation decreases.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Normal Distribution
Z-Scores
Probability

Formulas

Z = (X - μ) / σ
Standard deviation for sample mean: σ_new = σ / √n

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate Level