Math Problem Statement

Suppose that the distance of fly balls hit to the outfield (in baseball) is normally distributed with a mean of 244 feet and a standard deviation of 42 feet. If one fly ball is randomly chosen from this distribution, what is the probability that this ball traveled fewer than 210 feet? What is the probability that this ball traveled more than 228 feet?

Solution

To solve these questions, we'll use the normal distribution properties. Given information:

  • Mean (μ\mu) = 244 feet
  • Standard deviation (σ\sigma) = 42 feet

Let's calculate each probability.

Question (a)

We want the probability that a randomly chosen fly ball traveled fewer than 210 feet.

  1. First, find the z-score for 210 feet:

    z=Xμσ=21024442=34420.81z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} = \frac{210 - 244}{42} = \frac{-34}{42} \approx -0.81

  2. Using a standard normal table or calculator, we find the cumulative probability for z=0.81z = -0.81.

    P(Z<0.81)0.2090P(Z < -0.81) \approx 0.2090

So, the probability is approximately 20.90%.

Question (b)

We want the probability that a randomly chosen fly ball traveled more than 228 feet.

  1. First, find the z-score for 228 feet:

    z=Xμσ=22824442=16420.38z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} = \frac{228 - 244}{42} = \frac{-16}{42} \approx -0.38

  2. Using a standard normal table or calculator, find the cumulative probability for z=0.38z = -0.38.

    P(Z<0.38)0.3520P(Z < -0.38) \approx 0.3520

  3. Since we want the probability of traveling more than 228 feet, we calculate P(Z>0.38)P(Z > -0.38):

    P(Z>0.38)=1P(Z<0.38)=10.3520=0.6480P(Z > -0.38) = 1 - P(Z < -0.38) = 1 - 0.3520 = 0.6480

So, the probability is approximately 64.80%.

Answers

  • (a) P(fewer than 210 feet)20.90%P(\text{fewer than 210 feet}) \approx 20.90\%
  • (b) P(more than 228 feet)64.80%P(\text{more than 228 feet}) \approx 64.80\%

Would you like more details on any step, or do you have any additional questions?

Here are some related questions for further practice:

  1. What is the probability that a randomly chosen fly ball traveled exactly 244 feet?
  2. What is the probability that a fly ball traveled between 210 and 228 feet?
  3. How would the probabilities change if the standard deviation were smaller?
  4. How does changing the mean affect the probability calculations?
  5. What is the z-score for a fly ball that traveled 300 feet?

Tip: For normal distribution problems, calculating the z-score helps standardize the values, making it easier to find probabilities.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Normal Distribution
Probability
Z-scores

Formulas

z = (X - μ) / σ
P(Z < z) for cumulative probability of a normal distribution
P(Z > z) = 1 - P(Z < z) for the complement probability

Theorems

Properties of the Normal Distribution

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12