Math Problem Statement

Use the given data to find the minimum sample size required to estimate the population proportion.

Margin of error: 0.028; confidence level: 99%; p and q unknown

Solution

To calculate the minimum sample size required to estimate the population proportion when the margin of error, confidence level, and the values of pp and qq are unknown, we use the following formula for the sample size nn:

n=Z2pqE2n = \frac{Z^2 \cdot p \cdot q}{E^2}

Where:

  • ZZ is the Z-value corresponding to the given confidence level,
  • pp is the estimated population proportion (if unknown, we assume p=0.5p = 0.5),
  • q=1pq = 1 - p,
  • EE is the margin of error.

Step 1: Z-value for 99% confidence level

For a 99% confidence level, the Z-value corresponding to the middle 99% of the normal distribution is approximately 2.576.

Step 2: Set p=0.5p = 0.5 and q=0.5q = 0.5

Since pp and qq are unknown, we assume p=0.5p = 0.5 and q=1p=0.5q = 1 - p = 0.5. This maximizes the required sample size and is the most conservative assumption.

Step 3: Use the margin of error

Given the margin of error E=0.028E = 0.028, we can now plug the values into the formula.

n=(2.576)2(0.5)(0.5)(0.028)2n = \frac{(2.576)^2 \cdot (0.5) \cdot (0.5)}{(0.028)^2}

Step 4: Perform the calculation

Let’s calculate the value of nn.The minimum sample size required to estimate the population proportion, given a margin of error of 0.028 and a 99% confidence level, is 2116.

Do you want more details on the calculation or have any questions?

Here are 5 related questions for further exploration:

  1. How would the sample size change if the margin of error is reduced to 0.02?
  2. What happens to the sample size if the confidence level is lowered to 95%?
  3. Why do we assume p=0.5p = 0.5 when pp and qq are unknown?
  4. How would using a known population proportion impact the sample size?
  5. How does the sample size formula differ for estimating means instead of proportions?

Tip: When pp and qq are unknown, assuming p=0.5p = 0.5 is a conservative choice that ensures the largest sample size needed.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Population Proportion
Sample Size Estimation

Formulas

n = (Z^2 * p * q) / E^2

Theorems

Normal Distribution
Central Limit Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

College/University Statistics