Math Problem Statement
In a large clinical trial, 400,321 children were randomly assigned to two groups. The treatment group consisted of 201,051 children given a vaccine for a certain disease, and 37 of those children developed the disease. The other 199,270 children were given a placebo, and 130 of those children developed the disease. Consider the vaccine treatment group to be the first sample. Complete parts (a) through (d) below. Question content area bottom Part 1 a. Assume that a 0.100.10 significance level will be used to test the claim that p 1p1less than<p 2p2. Which is better: A hypothesis test or a confidence interval? A hypothesis test is better. Part 2 b. In general, when dealing with inferences for two population proportions, which two of the following are equivalent: confidence interval method; P-value method; critical value method? Upper P dash value method and critical value methodP-value method and critical value method are equivalent, in that they will always lead to the same conclusion. Both of these methods use a standard deviation based on the assumption that the two population proportions are equal, whereas the other method uses a standard deviation based on estimated values of the population proportions. Part 3 c. If a 0.100.10 significance level is to be used to test the claim that p 1p1less than<p 2p2, what confidence level should be used? 8080% (Type an integer or a decimal.) Part 4 d. If the claim in part (c) is tested using this sample data, we get this confidence interval: negative 0.000551−0.000551less than<p 1p1minus−p 2p2less than<negative 0.000385−0.000385. What does this confidence interval suggest about the claim? Because the confidence interval ▼
▼ there ▼ a significant difference between the two proportions. Because the confidence interval consists ▼
▼ it appears that the first proportion is ▼ the second proportion. There is ▼ evidence to support the claim that the rate of polio is less for children given the vaccine than it is for children given a placebo.
Solution
Let's solve each part of the problem step-by-step.
Part 1 (a)
Question: Assume that a 0.10 significance level will be used to test the claim that . Which is better: a hypothesis test or a confidence interval?
Answer: A hypothesis test is better.
Reasoning: A hypothesis test is more appropriate when testing a specific claim about the population proportions, in this case, .
Part 2 (b)
Question: In general, when dealing with inferences for two population proportions, which two of the following are equivalent: confidence interval method, P-value method, critical value method?
Answer: P-value method and critical value method are equivalent.
Reasoning: Both the P-value method and the critical value method use a standard deviation based on the assumption that the two population proportions are equal, and they will always lead to the same conclusion. The confidence interval method uses a standard deviation based on estimated values of the population proportions.
Part 3 (c)
Question: If a 0.10 significance level is to be used to test the claim that , what confidence level should be used?
Answer: 90%
Reasoning: For a one-tailed test at the 0.10 significance level, the corresponding confidence level for the confidence interval is 90%.
Part 4 (d)
Question: If the claim in part (c) is tested using this sample data, we get this confidence interval: . What does this confidence interval suggest about the claim?
Answer:
- Because the confidence interval does not contain zero, there is a significant difference between the two proportions.
- Because the confidence interval consists of only negative values, it appears that the first proportion () is less than the second proportion ().
- There is sufficient evidence to support the claim that the rate of the disease is less for children given the vaccine than it is for children given a placebo.
Summary:
To summarize the answers for each part:
- (a) A hypothesis test is better.
- (b) P-value method and critical value method are equivalent.
- (c) 90%
- (d) There is sufficient evidence to support the claim that the rate of the disease is less for children given the vaccine than it is for children given a placebo.
Would you like more details or have any questions about these parts?
Here are 5 more questions you might ask:
- How do you calculate the confidence interval for two population proportions?
- What are the assumptions required for conducting a hypothesis test for two proportions?
- Can you explain the difference between a one-tailed and a two-tailed test?
- How do you interpret the P-value in the context of a hypothesis test?
- What is the relationship between the significance level and the confidence level?
Tip: When interpreting confidence intervals, always check whether zero is included in the interval. If zero is not included, it suggests a significant difference between the proportions.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Hypothesis Testing
Confidence Intervals
Two Proportions
Formulas
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Theorems
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Suitable Grade Level
Advanced College Level
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