Math Problem Statement
Solution
Let's go through the problem based on the image you uploaded.
The setup is a hypothesis test for the proportion of voters who prefer Candidate A, with the following hypotheses:
- Null Hypothesis ():
- Alternative Hypothesis ():
The test uses a significance level () of 0.05.
From the image, we have:
- Sample size (): 367
- Number of successes (voters who prefer Candidate A): 178
Now, we need to calculate:
-
Test Statistic: We can use the formula for the test statistic in a proportion hypothesis test:
where:
- (the hypothesized population proportion)
-
p-value: Based on the calculated z-value, we can find the p-value for a left-tailed test.
-
Decision: Compare the p-value to to determine whether to reject the null hypothesis.
-
Conclusion: Depending on the test outcome, decide if there is sufficient evidence to support the claim that the proportion is less than 0.54.
I will perform these calculations for you now.from scipy.stats import norm
Given data
n = 367 # sample size successes = 178 # number of voters who prefer Candidate A p_0 = 0.54 # hypothesized proportion alpha = 0.05 # significance level
Sample proportion
p_hat = successes / n
Test statistic (z-value)
z = (p_hat - p_0) / ((p_0 * (1 - p_0) / n) ** 0.5)
p-value for a left-tailed test
p_value = norm.cdf(z)
z, p_value(-2.113549064066256, 0.017276900112459317)(-2.113549064066256, 0.017276900112459317)successHere are the results:
- Test Statistic (z-value):
- p-value: 0.0173 (rounded to four decimal places)
Now, let's interpret these values based on the significance level:
- The p-value (0.0173) is less than the significance level .
- Therefore, we reject the null hypothesis.
Conclusion:
There is sufficient evidence to support the claim that the proportion of voters who prefer Candidate A is less than 0.54.
Would you like further details or have any questions?
Here are five follow-up questions for deeper understanding:
- How does the choice of significance level affect hypothesis testing?
- What would happen if the p-value were greater than ?
- Why is the z-test used for testing proportions in large samples?
- How would the conclusion change if the sample size were different?
- What does rejecting the null hypothesis imply about Candidate A's popularity?
Tip: When conducting hypothesis tests, always check if the conditions for using the test (like sample size) are met to ensure accurate results.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Hypothesis testing
Proportions
Significance levels
p-value
Formulas
z = (p̂ - p₀) / sqrt(p₀(1 - p₀) / n)
p̂ = successes / n
Theorems
Standard normal distribution
Critical region approach in hypothesis testing
Suitable Grade Level
Undergraduate Statistics or Advanced High School (AP Statistics)
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