Math Problem Statement

This problem could be thought of as generating samples of Earth's subsurface, which often appears as horizontal (layered) structures. Let Ω = [0, 1] x [0, 1], i.e., the unit square, and consider discretizing Ω into a regular 100 x 100 grid. The domain Ω is split into two parts, Ω1 and Ω2, where the subdomains are defined as Ω1 = {(x, y) ∈ Ω | y > mx + c}, Ω2 = {(x, y) ∈ Ω | y ≤ mx + c}. The slope and intercept, i.e., m and c, of the straight line dividing Ω are random variables with m ~ π(m) = N(0, 1/2), c ~ π(c) = N(1/2, 1/8). Let θ1 be a random variable defined over the discretized Ω1 and θ2 a random variable defined over the discretized Ω2, with θ1 ~ N(0, Γ1), θ2 ~ N(0, Γ2), where Γ1 and Γ2 are exponential covariance matrices with variance σ = 1 and correlation length ℓ = 2. The task is to generate and plot 6 samples from π(θ1, θ2, m, c).

Solution

The task described in the problem involves generating samples from a statistical model of the Earth's subsurface, often represented with horizontal structures, using specific software. Here’s a breakdown of the problem and hints:

Problem Breakdown:

  • Domain Setup:
    The unit square Ω=[0,1]×[0,1]\Omega = [0,1] \times [0,1] is discretized into a 100x100 grid. This domain is split into two regions, Ω1\Omega_1 and Ω2\Omega_2, based on the equation of a straight line y=mx+cy = mx + c.

  • Random Variables:

    1. Slope mm and intercept cc are random variables: mN(0,12),cN(12,18)m \sim \mathcal{N}\left(0, \frac{1}{2}\right), \quad c \sim \mathcal{N}\left(\frac{1}{2}, \frac{1}{8}\right)
    2. Subdomain variables θ1\theta_1 and θ2\theta_2: θ1N(0,Γ1),θ2N(0,Γ2)\theta_1 \sim \mathcal{N}(0, \Gamma_1), \quad \theta_2 \sim \mathcal{N}(0, \Gamma_2) where Γ1\Gamma_1 and Γ2\Gamma_2 are exponential squared covariance matrices, with variance σ=1\sigma = 1 and correlation length =2\ell = 2.

Task:

  • Using a suitable software (Python is commonly used for these types of problems with libraries like numpy and matplotlib), you need to generate and plot 6 samples from the distribution π(θ1,θ2,m,c)\pi(\theta_1, \theta_2, m, c).

Hints:

  1. The samples should look similar to the images provided in the figure.
  2. Factorizing the distribution using conditional and marginal distributions might help.
  3. You could start by using a coarser discretization (e.g., a smaller grid) for debugging purposes.

How to Approach:

  1. Generate mm and cc:

    • These are normally distributed, so you can use a random number generator from a normal distribution to sample from these values.
  2. Define Ω1\Omega_1 and Ω2\Omega_2:

    • Once you have mm and cc, the regions Ω1\Omega_1 and Ω2\Omega_2 are defined as two parts of the unit square divided by the line y=mx+cy = mx + c.
  3. Sample θ1\theta_1 and θ2\theta_2:

    • Use a multivariate normal distribution with covariance matrices Γ1\Gamma_1 and Γ2\Gamma_2, which can be modeled using exponential kernels. The exponential squared covariance matrix can be created using: Γij=exp(xixj222)\Gamma_{ij} = \exp\left(-\frac{\|x_i - x_j\|^2}{2\ell^2}\right) This requires constructing the grid and calculating pairwise distances for all grid points.
  4. Plotting:

    • Use a plotting library (such as matplotlib in Python) to create the plots of the sampled fields over the domain.

Would you like me to walk you through specific code examples for any of these steps?


Here are some related questions to expand on this topic:

  1. How can we construct the covariance matrix for θ1\theta_1 and θ2\theta_2 using an exponential kernel?
  2. What software options are available for generating random samples from multivariate normal distributions?
  3. How do correlation length \ell and variance σ\sigma affect the sample generation?
  4. How can conditional and marginal distributions simplify the factorization of π(θ1,θ2,m,c)\pi(\theta_1, \theta_2, m, c)?
  5. What would be the effect of using different grid sizes in the discretization?

Tip: When working with large covariance matrices, you might want to consider using Cholesky decomposition to efficiently sample from multivariate normal distributions.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Random Variables
Gaussian Distribution
Covariance Matrices
Statistical Modeling
Multivariate Normal Distributions

Formulas

m ~ N(0, 1/2)
c ~ N(1/2, 1/8)
θ1 ~ N(0, Γ1)
θ2 ~ N(0, Γ2)
Covariance Matrix: Γ_ij = exp(-||x_i - x_j||^2 / (2ℓ^2))

Theorems

Properties of Multivariate Normal Distributions
Exponential Squared Covariance Matrix

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate / Graduate