Math Problem Statement
An unbiased die is thrown 13 times. After each throw a '+' is recorded for 2 or 5 and '-' is recorded for 1,3,4 or 6, the signs forming an ordered sequence. To each, except the first and last sign, a random variable X i ; i
1 , 2 , . . . , 11 X i ;i=1,2,...,11 is associated which takes the value 1 1 if both of its neighbouring sign differs from the one between them and 0 0 otherwise. If the random variable Y Y is defined as Y
14 S + 29 Y=14S+29 where, S
∑ i
1 11 X i S=∑ i=1 11 X i . Find the expected value of Y Y.
Solution
Let's solve the problem step by step.
Step 1: Understanding the Random Variable
Given that an unbiased die is thrown 13 times, an ordered sequence of '+' (for outcomes 2 or 5) and '-' (for outcomes 1, 3, 4, or 6) is formed. For each (where ), the value of is determined as follows:
- if both of its neighboring signs differ from the sign in between.
- otherwise.
Step 2: Probability of Each Sign
Since the die is unbiased:
- Probability of a '+' (for outcomes 2 or 5) is .
- Probability of a '-' (for outcomes 1, 3, 4, or 6) is .
Step 3: Calculation of
occurs if the sign sequence follows either '+ - +' or '- + -'. The probability of each scenario is:
- .
- .
Thus, the total probability that is:
Step 4: Expected Value of
, where each is an independent random variable. The expected value of is: [ \mathbb{E}[S] = \sum_{i=1}^{11} \mathbb{E}[X_i] = 11 \times \mathbb{E}[X_i] = 11 \times \frac{2}{9} = \frac{22}{9}. ]
Step 5: Expected Value of
. The expected value of is: [ \mathbb{E}[Y] = 14 \times \mathbb{E}[S] + 29 = 14 \times \frac{22}{9} + 29 = \frac{308}{9} + 29 = \frac{308}{9} + \frac{261}{9} = \frac{569}{9}. ]
Thus, the expected value of is .
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Probability
Expected Value
Random Variables
Formulas
-
Theorems
-
Suitable Grade Level
Advanced Mathematics
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