Math Problem Statement

a random sample of 100 adults were asked if they pay for monthly subscriptions. with a 95% confidence interval for the true proportion of adults who pay for subscriptions they do not use is .352 to 0.548. use the confidence interval to evaluate this claim

Solution

The problem provides a 95% confidence interval for the true proportion of adults who pay for subscriptions they do not use, which is from 0.352 to 0.548.

To evaluate the claim, we'll need to consider what the claim is and compare it with the given confidence interval. However, the actual claim is not stated directly in the problem. Let me assume that the claim is about the true proportion of adults who pay for subscriptions they do not use. In this case, we can interpret the confidence interval and determine whether it supports or contradicts the claim.

Key points to consider:

  • Confidence Interval: The range from 0.352 to 0.548 indicates that, with 95% confidence, the true proportion of adults who pay for subscriptions they do not use is somewhere between these two values.

  • Interpreting the Confidence Interval: This means that if we were to repeat this sampling process many times, approximately 95% of the time, the calculated confidence intervals would capture the true population proportion.

Evaluating a Claim:

If the claim made is that the true proportion of adults who pay for subscriptions they do not use is greater than or less than certain values, you can compare those values with the confidence interval.

Example Claims to Evaluate:

  1. Claim 1: The true proportion is greater than 0.5.

    • The upper bound of the confidence interval is 0.548, which is greater than 0.5. However, the lower bound is 0.352, which is below 0.5. Since 0.5 lies outside the entire interval, we cannot support this claim.
  2. Claim 2: The true proportion is less than 0.6.

    • Since the entire confidence interval (0.352 to 0.548) is below 0.6, we can support this claim. The true proportion is likely less than 0.6 with high confidence.
  3. Claim 3: The true proportion is between 0.4 and 0.5.

    • This is a plausible claim because the confidence interval (0.352 to 0.548) overlaps with this range. Therefore, we cannot reject this claim.

Conclusion:

  • If the claim is that the true proportion is greater than 0.5, we cannot support it because 0.5 is outside the range of the confidence interval.
  • If the claim is that the true proportion is less than 0.6, we can support it.
  • If the claim is that the true proportion is between 0.4 and 0.5, we can not reject this claim either.

Do you have a specific claim in mind you'd like to test against the confidence interval? Let me know if you'd like further clarification or details.


Related Questions:

  1. How do you calculate a confidence interval for a population proportion?
  2. What does a 95% confidence interval mean in terms of probability?
  3. How do sample size and confidence level affect the width of a confidence interval?
  4. How can you test claims about population proportions using hypothesis testing?
  5. What are the conditions for using a confidence interval to estimate proportions?

Tip:

For more accurate results when calculating confidence intervals, make sure your sample size is large enough to meet the assumptions of normality (the sample size rule of thumb is usually np>10np > 10 and n(1p)>10n(1-p) > 10).

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Confidence Intervals
Proportions
Hypothesis Testing

Formulas

Confidence Interval for Proportion: CI = p̂ ± Z * √(p̂(1-p̂)/n)

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem
Interpretation of Confidence Intervals

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 11-12