Math Problem Statement

what is the answer?

A team of biologists tagged 35 seals off the coast of an island. Later they captured a sample of seals from the same area and found that 14% of them had tags. Use this information to estimate the total number of seals in the area.

Solution

The problem described is a typical capture-recapture estimation method to determine the total population of seals. Here's the process to estimate the total number of seals using the given information:

Given:

  • 35 seals were initially tagged.
  • In a later sample, 14% of the seals had tags.

Let's assume the total population of seals is NN.

Using the capture-recapture formula:

Number of tagged sealsTotal population=Percentage of tagged seals in sample100\frac{\text{Number of tagged seals}}{\text{Total population}} = \frac{\text{Percentage of tagged seals in sample}}{100}

We know:

  • Tagged seals = 35.
  • Percentage of tagged seals in the sample = 14%.

Thus, the formula becomes:

35N=14100\frac{35}{N} = \frac{14}{100}

Now, solving for NN:

N=35×10014N = \frac{35 \times 100}{14}

Let me calculate that for you.The estimated total number of seals in the area is 250.

Do you want any further details or have additional questions?

Here are some related questions to expand on this topic:

  1. How would the estimate change if the percentage of tagged seals in the sample was 10%?
  2. What assumptions are made in the capture-recapture method for population estimation?
  3. How can we increase the accuracy of the population estimate using this method?
  4. What is the mathematical explanation behind the capture-recapture technique?
  5. How would the estimate differ if a larger number of seals were tagged initially?

Tip: When applying the capture-recapture method, ensure that the tagged animals mix evenly with the untagged population between samplings.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Capture-recapture method
Population estimation
Proportions

Formulas

Number of tagged seals / Total population = Percentage of tagged seals in sample / 100
N = (Tagged seals × 100) / Percentage of tagged seals

Theorems

Proportionality theorem for population estimation

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 9-12