Math Problem Statement

okay so assuming the stock price could follow two distributions, s1 is N(-1%, 5%) and s2 is (3%, 4.5%). Now at one point in time s1= 101, whilst s2=103, k=100 for both, Everything else is the same, whats the difference between the two d1 and ultimately whats the impact on delta of a put option. R=0.02 T=5

Solution

To calculate d1d_1 for both distributions s1s_1 and s2s_2, we will use the Black-Scholes formula components, which are given by:

d1=ln(SK)+(r+σ22)TσTd_1 = \frac{\ln\left(\frac{S}{K}\right) + \left(r + \frac{\sigma^2}{2}\right) T}{\sigma \sqrt{T}}

Where:

  • SS is the stock price at the time (s1=101s_1 = 101, s2=103s_2 = 103)
  • KK is the strike price (100)
  • rr is the risk-free rate (0.02)
  • σ\sigma is the volatility (5% for s1s_1 and 4.5% for s2s_2)
  • TT is the time to maturity (5 years)

Step 1: Calculate d1d_1 for s1s_1

Given:

  • S=101S = 101
  • K=100K = 100
  • r=0.02r = 0.02
  • σ=0.05\sigma = 0.05
  • T=5T = 5

d1(s1)=ln(101100)+(0.02+(0.05)22)×50.055d_1(s_1) = \frac{\ln\left(\frac{101}{100}\right) + \left(0.02 + \frac{(0.05)^2}{2}\right) \times 5}{0.05 \sqrt{5}}

Calculating each component:

  1. ln(101100)0.00995033\ln\left(\frac{101}{100}\right) \approx 0.00995033
  2. (0.02+0.00252)×5=(0.02+0.00125)×5=0.02125×5=0.10625\left(0.02 + \frac{0.0025}{2}\right) \times 5 = (0.02 + 0.00125) \times 5 = 0.02125 \times 5 = 0.10625
  3. 0.0550.11180.05 \sqrt{5} \approx 0.1118

Now substitute into the formula:

d1(s1)=0.00995033+0.106250.11180.116200330.11181.039d_1(s_1) = \frac{0.00995033 + 0.10625}{0.1118} \approx \frac{0.11620033}{0.1118} \approx 1.039

Step 2: Calculate d1d_1 for s2s_2

Given:

  • S=103S = 103
  • K=100K = 100
  • r=0.02r = 0.02
  • σ=0.045\sigma = 0.045

d1(s2)=ln(103100)+(0.02+(0.045)22)×50.0455d_1(s_2) = \frac{\ln\left(\frac{103}{100}\right) + \left(0.02 + \frac{(0.045)^2}{2}\right) \times 5}{0.045 \sqrt{5}}

Calculating each component:

  1. ln(103100)0.0295588\ln\left(\frac{103}{100}\right) \approx 0.0295588
  2. (0.02+0.0020252)×5=(0.02+0.0010125)×5=0.0210125×5=0.1050625\left(0.02 + \frac{0.002025}{2}\right) \times 5 = (0.02 + 0.0010125) \times 5 = 0.0210125 \times 5 = 0.1050625
  3. 0.04550.10060.045 \sqrt{5} \approx 0.1006

Now substitute into the formula:

d1(s2)=0.0295588+0.10506250.10060.13462130.10061.339d_1(s_2) = \frac{0.0295588 + 0.1050625}{0.1006} \approx \frac{0.1346213}{0.1006} \approx 1.339

Step 3: Difference Between d1d_1

d1(s2)d1(s1)1.3391.039=0.300d_1(s_2) - d_1(s_1) \approx 1.339 - 1.039 = 0.300

Impact on Delta of a Put Option

The delta of a put option is given by:

Δ=N(d1)1\Delta = N(d_1) - 1

Where N(d1)N(d_1) is the cumulative distribution function of the standard normal distribution.

Calculate Delta for Both Options

  • For d1(s1)=1.039d_1(s_1) = 1.039:

    • N(1.039)N(1.039) (approximately 0.8508)
    • Δ(s1)=0.850810.1492\Delta(s_1) = 0.8508 - 1 \approx -0.1492
  • For d1(s2)=1.339d_1(s_2) = 1.339:

    • N(1.339)N(1.339) (approximately 0.9115)
    • Δ(s2)=0.911510.0885\Delta(s_2) = 0.9115 - 1 \approx -0.0885

Summary of Results

  • d1(s1)1.039d_1(s_1) \approx 1.039
  • d1(s2)1.339d_1(s_2) \approx 1.339
  • Difference in d1d_1: 0.3000.300
  • Delta of put option s10.1492s_1 \approx -0.1492
  • Delta of put option s20.0885s_2 \approx -0.0885

This means that the put option for s2s_2 is less sensitive to changes in the stock price than the put option for s1s_1, due to its higher d1d_1 value.

Would you like to explore further details or have any questions? Here are some related topics to consider:

  1. How do changes in volatility impact option pricing?
  2. What is the significance of delta in options trading?
  3. How does the time to maturity affect options pricing?
  4. Can you explain the differences between call and put options in more detail?
  5. What are the implications of using different distributions for modeling stock prices?

Tip: Always consider using simulations or historical data to validate the assumptions made in pricing models.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability Distribution
Options Pricing
Black-Scholes Model

Formulas

d1 = (ln(S/K) + (r + σ^2/2)T) / (σ√T)
Delta of a put option = N(d1) - 1

Theorems

Black-Scholes Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 11-12