Math Problem Statement

A food safety guideline is that the mercury in fish should be below 1 part per million​ (ppm). Listed below are the amounts of mercury​ (ppm) found in tuna sushi sampled at different stores in a major city. Construct a 95​% confidence interval estimate of the mean amount of mercury in the population. Does it appear that there is too much mercury in tuna​ sushi? 0.55  0.77  0.10  0.91  1.30  0.56  0.87

Solution

To construct a 95% confidence interval estimate of the mean amount of mercury in tuna sushi, we'll follow these steps:

  1. Step 1: Gather the data. The mercury amounts in ppm are: 0.55,0.77,0.10,0.91,1.30,0.56,0.870.55, 0.77, 0.10, 0.91, 1.30, 0.56, 0.87

  2. Step 2: Calculate the sample mean (xˉ\bar{x}) and the sample standard deviation (ss).

    • Sample mean (xˉ\bar{x}): xˉ=0.55+0.77+0.10+0.91+1.30+0.56+0.877=5.067=0.7229ppm\bar{x} = \frac{0.55 + 0.77 + 0.10 + 0.91 + 1.30 + 0.56 + 0.87}{7} = \frac{5.06}{7} = 0.7229 \, \text{ppm}

    • Sample standard deviation (ss): First, calculate the squared differences from the mean for each data point: (0.550.7229)2=0.0299,(0.770.7229)2=0.0022,(0.100.7229)2=0.3876(0.55 - 0.7229)^2 = 0.0299, \quad (0.77 - 0.7229)^2 = 0.0022, \quad (0.10 - 0.7229)^2 = 0.3876 (0.910.7229)2=0.0351,(1.300.7229)2=0.3335,(0.560.7229)2=0.0267,(0.870.7229)2=0.0217(0.91 - 0.7229)^2 = 0.0351, \quad (1.30 - 0.7229)^2 = 0.3335, \quad (0.56 - 0.7229)^2 = 0.0267, \quad (0.87 - 0.7229)^2 = 0.0217 Summing these squared differences: =0.0299+0.0022+0.3876+0.0351+0.3335+0.0267+0.0217=0.8367\sum = 0.0299 + 0.0022 + 0.3876 + 0.0351 + 0.3335 + 0.0267 + 0.0217 = 0.8367 Now, calculate the variance (since n=7n = 7): s2=0.836771=0.83676=0.1394s^2 = \frac{0.8367}{7 - 1} = \frac{0.8367}{6} = 0.1394 Finally, take the square root to get the standard deviation: s=0.13940.3734ppms = \sqrt{0.1394} \approx 0.3734 \, \text{ppm}

  3. Step 3: Determine the critical value for a 95% confidence interval. Since the sample size is n=7n = 7, we use the t-distribution with n1=6n - 1 = 6 degrees of freedom. The critical value tα/2t_{\alpha/2} for a 95% confidence level and 6 degrees of freedom is approximately 2.447 (from t-distribution tables or a calculator).

  4. Step 4: Calculate the margin of error (E). E=tα/2×sn=2.447×0.373472.447×0.14110.3455ppmE = t_{\alpha/2} \times \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} = 2.447 \times \frac{0.3734}{\sqrt{7}} \approx 2.447 \times 0.1411 \approx 0.3455 \, \text{ppm}

  5. Step 5: Construct the confidence interval. The confidence interval is given by: xˉEμxˉ+E\bar{x} - E \leq \mu \leq \bar{x} + E Substituting the values: 0.72290.3455μ0.7229+0.34550.7229 - 0.3455 \leq \mu \leq 0.7229 + 0.3455 0.3774μ1.06840.3774 \leq \mu \leq 1.0684

  6. Conclusion: The 95% confidence interval for the mean mercury content in tuna sushi is approximately [0.3774,1.0684]ppm[0.3774, 1.0684] \, \text{ppm}.

Since the upper bound of the confidence interval (1.0684 ppm) is slightly above the safety guideline of 1 ppm, there is a possibility that the mean mercury content in tuna sushi exceeds the recommended limit. However, since the interval includes values both below and above 1 ppm, it doesn't definitively show that the mean mercury content is too high.


Would you like further details on any part of this process or have any questions?

Here are 5 questions that could extend this topic:

  1. How does the confidence level affect the width of the confidence interval?
  2. What happens to the confidence interval if the sample size is increased?
  3. How would using a different level of significance (e.g., 99%) change the results?
  4. What assumptions do we make when using a t-distribution for confidence intervals?
  5. Could the presence of outliers significantly affect the confidence interval?

Tip: Always ensure the sample data is representative of the population when constructing confidence intervals to avoid misleading conclusions.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Confidence Intervals
T-distribution
Mean and Standard Deviation

Formulas

Sample mean (x̄) = (Σx) / n
Sample standard deviation (s) = sqrt((Σ(x - x̄)²) / (n-1))
Margin of error (E) = t(α/2) * (s / √n)
Confidence interval: x̄ - E ≤ μ ≤ x̄ + E

Theorems

T-distribution theorem for small sample sizes
Central Limit Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate Statistics or High School AP Statistics