Math Problem Statement

M3 Assignment-2.docx

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Solution

I see the file contains several questions on data analysis, hypothesis testing, confidence intervals, and misconceptions about p-values. Below is a breakdown of the content:

  1. Confidence Interval Calculation (Q1): You are tasked with calculating a 95% confidence interval for a sample mean (X̄ = 20) with a sample size of 25 and a known standard deviation (σ = 5).

    • The confidence interval is calculated using the formula: CI=Xˉ±Zα/2(σN)CI = X̄ \pm Z_{\alpha/2} \left(\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{N}}\right) Where:
      • Zα/2=1.96Z_{\alpha/2} = 1.96 (for a 95% confidence level),
      • σ=5\sigma = 5,
      • N=25N = 25. The bounds are approximately (18.04, 21.96).
  2. Hypothesis Testing for Team Scores (Q2): Here, you calculated a sample mean of 80.89 based on the given data. Next, you are asked to compute a 95% confidence interval, determine if scores have improved since a new team member joined, and calculate the probability of the observed mean under the null hypothesis (H₀: μ = 78). This involves hypothesis testing with a one-tailed test.

  3. Z-Test on Life Expectancy (Q3): You perform a Z-test comparing life expectancy in Arizona hospitals (mean = 76.5) against the US population (mean = 82.6, σ = 10, N = 250). The critical value for a two-tailed test at α = 0.05 is ±1.96. The Z-statistic is calculated as: Z=(Xˉμ)σ/NZ = \frac{(X̄ - μ)}{\sigma / \sqrt{N}} Leading to a Z-score of -9.64, which suggests a strong deviation from the population mean.

  4. Misconceptions About Hypothesis Testing (Q4): This section corrects common misconceptions about p-values and significance tests. For example, a p-value does not measure the probability that the null hypothesis is false, but instead, the probability of obtaining results as extreme as those observed, assuming the null hypothesis is true.


Would you like further details on any specific calculations, explanations, or how to handle hypothesis tests?

Here are some questions that can deepen your understanding:

  1. How would the confidence interval change if the sample size were larger?
  2. What would the Z-value be for a different confidence level, say 99%?
  3. How would you interpret the p-value obtained in Q2?
  4. What effect does a larger sample size have on the hypothesis test in Q3?
  5. What other misconceptions about p-values or significance testing can affect research conclusions?

Tip: When calculating confidence intervals or performing hypothesis testing, always ensure that the correct assumptions about normality, sample size, and standard deviation are met to ensure valid results.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Confidence Interval
Hypothesis Testing
Z-Test
P-Value
Misconceptions in Hypothesis Testing

Formulas

CI = X̄ ± Z_{α/2} (σ / √N)
Z = (X̄ - μ) / (σ / √N)

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem
Normal Distribution
P-Value Interpretation

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate Level