Math Problem Statement

Let's solve for 𝑓 𝑋 ∣ π‘Œ

0 , 𝑍

1 ( 0 ) f X∣Y=0,Z=1 ​ (0) step by step using the information provided.

Step 1: Bayes' Theorem for Conditional Probability We want to find:

𝑓 𝑋 ∣ π‘Œ

0 , 𝑍

1 ( 0 )

𝑓 𝑋 π‘Œ 𝑍 ( 0 , 0 , 1 ) 𝑓 π‘Œ 𝑍 ( 0 , 1 ) . f X∣Y=0,Z=1 ​ (0)= f YZ ​ (0,1) f XYZ ​ (0,0,1) ​ . Step 2: Marginalization to Find 𝑓 π‘Œ 𝑍 ( 0 , 1 ) f YZ ​ (0,1) To compute 𝑓 π‘Œ 𝑍 ( 0 , 1 ) f YZ ​ (0,1), we marginalize over 𝑋 X:

𝑓 π‘Œ 𝑍 ( 0 , 1 )

𝑓 𝑋 π‘Œ 𝑍 ( 0 , 0 , 1 ) + 𝑓 𝑋 π‘Œ 𝑍 ( 1 , 0 , 1 ) . f YZ ​ (0,1)=f XYZ ​ (0,0,1)+f XYZ ​ (1,0,1). We already know:

𝑓 𝑋 π‘Œ 𝑍 ( 0 , 0 , 1 )

1 4 f XYZ ​ (0,0,1)= 4 1 ​ . However, we don't have 𝑓 𝑋 π‘Œ 𝑍 ( 1 , 0 , 1 ) f XYZ ​ (1,0,1) directly, but let's compute it based on the Bernoulli distributions.

Step 3: Use of Bernoulli Distributions 𝑋 ∼ Bernoulli ( 1 / 3 ) X∼Bernoulli(1/3), so 𝑃 ( 𝑋

1 )

1 3 P(X=1)= 3 1 ​ and 𝑃 ( 𝑋

0 )

2 3 P(X=0)= 3 2 ​ . π‘Œ ∼ Bernoulli ( 1 / 2 ) Y∼Bernoulli(1/2), so 𝑃 ( π‘Œ

0 )

1 2 P(Y=0)= 2 1 ​ . 𝑍 ∼ Bernoulli ( 2 / 3 ) Z∼Bernoulli(2/3), so 𝑃 ( 𝑍

1 )

2 3 P(Z=1)= 3 2 ​ . Step 4: Compute 𝑓 π‘Œ 𝑍 ( 0 , 1 ) f YZ ​ (0,1) Now, from the marginalization formula:

𝑓 π‘Œ 𝑍 ( 0 , 1 )

𝑓 𝑋 π‘Œ 𝑍 ( 0 , 0 , 1 ) + 𝑓 𝑋 π‘Œ 𝑍 ( 1 , 0 , 1 ) . f YZ ​ (0,1)=f XYZ ​ (0,0,1)+f XYZ ​ (1,0,1). Assume the conditional probabilities follow the Bernoulli distributions, which means:

𝑓 𝑋 π‘Œ 𝑍 ( 1 , 0 , 1 )

𝑃 ( 𝑋

1 ) β‹… 𝑃 ( π‘Œ

0 ) β‹… 𝑃 ( 𝑍

1 )

1 3 β‹… 1 2 β‹… 2 3

1 9 . f XYZ ​ (1,0,1)=P(X=1)β‹…P(Y=0)β‹…P(Z=1)= 3 1 ​ β‹… 2 1 ​ β‹… 3 2 ​

9 1 ​ . Thus, we now have:

𝑓 π‘Œ 𝑍 ( 0 , 1 )

1 4 + 1 9

9 + 4 36

13 36 . f YZ ​ (0,1)= 4 1 ​ + 9 1 ​

36 9+4 ​

36 13 ​ . Step 5: Calculate 𝑓 𝑋 ∣ π‘Œ

0 , 𝑍

1 ( 0 ) f X∣Y=0,Z=1 ​ (0) Now, we can substitute this into the formula for 𝑓 𝑋 ∣ π‘Œ

0 , 𝑍

1 ( 0 ) f X∣Y=0,Z=1 ​ (0):

𝑓 𝑋 ∣ π‘Œ

0 , 𝑍

1 ( 0 )

1 4 13 36

1 4 β‹… 36 13

9 13 . f X∣Y=0,Z=1 ​ (0)= 36 13 ​

4 1 ​

​

4 1 ​ β‹… 13 36 ​

13 9 ​ . Final Answer: The value of 𝑓 𝑋 ∣ π‘Œ

0 , 𝑍

1 ( 0 ) f X∣Y=0,Z=1 ​ (0) is approximately:

0.69 . 0.69 ​ .answer is 0.75

Solution

Let's carefully go through the steps and calculations again to ensure accuracy in solving fX∣Y=0,Z=1(0)f_{X \mid Y = 0, Z = 1}(0). We will recalculate and verify the final result:

Step 1: Bayes' Theorem for Conditional Probability

We are tasked with finding:

fX∣Y=0,Z=1(0)=fXYZ(0,0,1)fYZ(0,1).f_{X \mid Y = 0, Z = 1}(0) = \frac{f_{XYZ}(0, 0, 1)}{f_{YZ}(0, 1)}.

Step 2: Marginalization to Find fYZ(0,1)f_{YZ}(0, 1)

To compute fYZ(0,1)f_{YZ}(0, 1), we marginalize over XX:

fYZ(0,1)=fXYZ(0,0,1)+fXYZ(1,0,1).f_{YZ}(0, 1) = f_{XYZ}(0, 0, 1) + f_{XYZ}(1, 0, 1).

We already know:

fXYZ(0,0,1)=14.f_{XYZ}(0, 0, 1) = \frac{1}{4}.

We need to compute fXYZ(1,0,1)f_{XYZ}(1, 0, 1).

Step 3: Use of Bernoulli Distributions

Given that:

  • X∼Bernoulli(13)X \sim \text{Bernoulli}\left(\frac{1}{3}\right), so P(X=1)=13P(X = 1) = \frac{1}{3} and P(X=0)=23P(X = 0) = \frac{2}{3},
  • Y∼Bernoulli(12)Y \sim \text{Bernoulli}\left(\frac{1}{2}\right), so P(Y=0)=12P(Y = 0) = \frac{1}{2},
  • Z∼Bernoulli(23)Z \sim \text{Bernoulli}\left(\frac{2}{3}\right), so P(Z=1)=23P(Z = 1) = \frac{2}{3},

we can now compute fXYZ(1,0,1)f_{XYZ}(1, 0, 1):

fXYZ(1,0,1)=P(X=1)β‹…P(Y=0)β‹…P(Z=1)=13β‹…12β‹…23=19.f_{XYZ}(1, 0, 1) = P(X = 1) \cdot P(Y = 0) \cdot P(Z = 1) = \frac{1}{3} \cdot \frac{1}{2} \cdot \frac{2}{3} = \frac{1}{9}.

Step 4: Compute fYZ(0,1)f_{YZ}(0, 1)

Now, using the marginalization formula:

fYZ(0,1)=fXYZ(0,0,1)+fXYZ(1,0,1)=14+19.f_{YZ}(0, 1) = f_{XYZ}(0, 0, 1) + f_{XYZ}(1, 0, 1) = \frac{1}{4} + \frac{1}{9}.

To add these, we find a common denominator:

fYZ(0,1)=936+436=1336.f_{YZ}(0, 1) = \frac{9}{36} + \frac{4}{36} = \frac{13}{36}.

Step 5: Calculate fX∣Y=0,Z=1(0)f_{X \mid Y = 0, Z = 1}(0)

Now, we can substitute this into the formula for fX∣Y=0,Z=1(0)f_{X \mid Y = 0, Z = 1}(0):

fX∣Y=0,Z=1(0)=fXYZ(0,0,1)fYZ(0,1)=141336=14β‹…3613=913.f_{X \mid Y = 0, Z = 1}(0) = \frac{f_{XYZ}(0, 0, 1)}{f_{YZ}(0, 1)} = \frac{\frac{1}{4}}{\frac{13}{36}} = \frac{1}{4} \cdot \frac{36}{13} = \frac{9}{13}.

Final Answer

Thus, the value of fX∣Y=0,Z=1(0)f_{X \mid Y = 0, Z = 1}(0) is:

913β‰ˆ0.6923.\frac{9}{13} \approx 0.6923.

However, the correct final answer as per the steps should be 0.75, which could point to an assumption or condition not explicitly outlined in the provided steps. Since the calculation suggests 0.69, there may be an adjustment in the assumptions related to the distribution or the values derived. Please clarify if additional details are needed for this case.


Do you want any further details or clarification on this? Here are 5 related questions that can expand on the above concepts:

  1. How does marginalization work in different joint probability distributions?
  2. Can you explain the intuition behind Bernoulli distributions?
  3. How does Bayes' theorem apply to more complex probabilistic models?
  4. What role do conditional probabilities play in machine learning models?
  5. How would this result change if the distributions were different?

Tip: Always check the assumptions behind your distributions when applying Bayes' theorem, as slight changes can affect your final result.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Conditional Probability
Marginalization
Bayes' Theorem
Bernoulli Distributions

Formulas

f_{X \mid Y = 0, Z = 1}(0) = f_{XYZ}(0, 0, 1) / f_{YZ}(0, 1)
f_{YZ}(0, 1) = f_{XYZ}(0, 0, 1) + f_{XYZ}(1, 0, 1)
f_{XYZ}(x, y, z) = P(X = x) * P(Y = y) * P(Z = z)

Theorems

Bayes' Theorem
Law of Total Probability

Suitable Grade Level

University Level - Probability and Statistics