Math Problem Statement

Please solve

A new typhoid shot is being developed by a medical research team. The old typhoid shot was known to protect the population for a mean time of 36 months, with a standard deviation of 3 months. To test the time variability of the new shot, a random sample of 25 people were given the new shot. Regular blood tests showed that the sample standard deviation of protection times was 2.1 months. Using a 0.05 level of significance, test the claim that the new typhoid shot has a smaller variance of protection times.

Solution

Let's solve the problem step-by-step:


(a) Level of significance and hypotheses

  • Level of significance (α\alpha):
    It is stated in the problem as 0.05.

  • Null hypothesis (H0H_0):
    The null hypothesis assumes that the variance of the new shot is equal to or larger than the variance of the old shot:
    H0:σ232H_0: \sigma^2 \geq 3^2

  • Alternative hypothesis (H1H_1):
    The alternative hypothesis states that the variance of the new shot is smaller than the variance of the old shot:
    H1:σ2<32H_1: \sigma^2 < 3^2


(b) Chi-square test statistic and degrees of freedom

  • The formula for the chi-square test statistic is:
    χ2=(n1)s2σ02\chi^2 = \frac{(n-1) \cdot s^2}{\sigma_0^2}
    where:

    • n=25n = 25 (sample size),
    • s2=2.12=4.41s^2 = 2.1^2 = 4.41 (sample variance),
    • σ02=32=9\sigma_0^2 = 3^2 = 9 (population variance under H0H_0).

    Substituting: χ2=(251)4.419=244.419=11.76\chi^2 = \frac{(25-1) \cdot 4.41}{9} = \frac{24 \cdot 4.41}{9} = 11.76

  • Degrees of freedom (dfdf):
    df=n1=251=24df = n - 1 = 25 - 1 = 24.

  • Assumptions about the population distribution:
    The chi-square test assumes a normal population distribution.


(c) P-value of the test statistic

Using a chi-square table or calculator, find the P-value corresponding to χ2=11.76\chi^2 = 11.76 with df=24df = 24.

  • The P-value for this test is greater than 0.10, as χ2=11.76\chi^2 = 11.76 is far to the left in the chi-square distribution for 24 degrees of freedom.

(d) Decision regarding the null hypothesis

The decision rule is:

  • Reject H0H_0 if PP-value α\leq \alpha.
  • Fail to reject H0H_0 if PP-value > α\alpha.

Here, PP-value > 0.10, which is greater than the level of significance (α=0.05\alpha = 0.05).
Conclusion: We fail to reject the null hypothesis.


(e) Interpretation of the conclusion

Since we fail to reject H0H_0:
There is insufficient evidence to conclude that the new typhoid shot has a smaller variance of protection times.


Summary of Answers

(a)

  • Level of significance: 0.05
  • H0:σ29H_0: \sigma^2 \geq 9
  • H1:σ2<9H_1: \sigma^2 < 9

(b)

  • χ2=11.76\chi^2 = 11.76
  • Degrees of freedom: 24
  • Assumption: Normal population distribution

(c)

  • PP-value > 0.10

(d)

  • Fail to reject H0H_0.

(e)

  • There is insufficient evidence to conclude that the new typhoid shot has a smaller variance of protection times.

Would you like further explanation of any step?

Related Questions:

  1. How is the chi-square test statistic calculated for two-sided tests?
  2. What are the assumptions required for the chi-square test for variance?
  3. Can the chi-square test be applied for small sample sizes? Why or why not?
  4. How does changing the level of significance affect the conclusion?
  5. What are alternative methods to test for differences in variances?

Tip: Always ensure the population data approximately follows a normal distribution before applying the chi-square test for variance.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Hypothesis Testing
Chi-Square Test for Variance
Probability

Formulas

Chi-Square Statistic: χ² = ((n-1) * s²) / σ₀²
Degrees of Freedom: df = n - 1

Theorems

Chi-Square Distribution Theorem
Hypothesis Testing Framework (Null and Alternative Hypotheses)

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate Statistics or Advanced High School Statistics