Math Problem Statement
According to Wikipedia, the speed of an adult cheetah varies Normally with a mean of 71.5 mph (miles per hour) and a standard deviation of 3.5 mph. Everyone: Hand draw a picture of the scenario. Show the location of inflection points as they relate to the measurement of "one standard deviation". Show marks on the x-axis for the mean and +/- 1,2,3 standard deviations (no need to give the values, just the marks will do). Label your x-axis with a descriptive sentence including units of measurement.
What is the probability that a cheetah will run faster than 75.5 mph? Show all of your work and add to your hand-drawn picture the following 3 features: x value on the x-axis, z (as shown by "hops") and P (a shaded region).
(4 points) Answer the question in a complete sentence to someone who is only interested in the speed of cheetahs and doesn't know any statistics.
Solution
Step 1: Draw the Normal Distribution
The scenario involves a normal distribution centered around a mean of 71.5 mph, with a standard deviation of 3.5 mph. Here’s how we’ll structure the drawing:
- Center Line for Mean: Start by marking the mean (71.5 mph) in the center of the x-axis.
- Inflection Points and Standard Deviations: Mark one standard deviation (3.5 mph) from the mean in both directions. This represents the points where the curve starts bending away from its initial steep slope.
- X-Axis Labels: Mark the locations of the mean , and then show the points for , , and . No specific values are required, so just place these marks evenly on the x-axis.
- Descriptive X-Axis Label: Label the x-axis as "Speed of Cheetah in mph."
I'll describe these elements here since I'm unable to hand-draw directly, but you can replicate this with a simple bell curve sketch.
Step 2: Calculate the Probability
To find the probability of a cheetah running faster than 75.5 mph, we need to determine how far this speed is from the mean in terms of standard deviations (z-scores) and then use the normal distribution.
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Calculate the Z-Score:
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Determine the Probability Using Z-Score: Using a Z-table or calculator, we find the area to the left of , which gives the cumulative probability up to 75.5 mph.
- The cumulative probability for is approximately .
- Since we need the probability that a cheetah runs faster than 75.5 mph, we subtract this from 1:
So, there’s about a 12.71% chance that a cheetah will run faster than 75.5 mph.
Step 3: Update the Hand-Drawn Picture
In your drawing:
- Mark 75.5 on the x-axis as it’s the threshold speed we’re analyzing.
- Add “hops” for the Z-score: Indicate the distance from the mean to 75.5 mph as 1.14 standard deviations.
- Shade the Region for Probability: Shade the area under the curve to the right of 75.5 mph to represent .
Final Answer in Plain Language
"There’s about a 12.71% chance that an adult cheetah will run faster than 75.5 miles per hour."
Would you like more clarification on any step or concept here?
Additional Questions
- How would the probability change if the mean speed of cheetahs increased?
- What if we wanted the probability that a cheetah would run slower than 68 mph?
- How is the Z-score useful in comparing speeds across different distributions?
- Can we find the exact speed range that contains 95% of all cheetah speeds?
- What happens to the probability calculation if the standard deviation increases?
Tip: Z-scores are helpful for standardizing values, making it easier to calculate probabilities for any normal distribution.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Normal Distribution
Z-Score
Probability
Standard Deviation
Formulas
Z = (X - μ) / σ
P(X > a) = 1 - P(X <= a)
Theorems
Properties of Normal Distribution
Z-Score Calculation
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 9-12
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