Math Problem Statement

Below, n is the sample size, p is the population proportion and p̂ is the sample proportion. Use the Central Limit Theorem and the TI-84 Plus calculator to find the probability. Round the answers to at least four decimal places. n=200 p=0.10 P(p̂<0.07)=__

Solution

To solve P(p^<0.07)P(\hat{p} < 0.07), we can use the Central Limit Theorem (CLT) for proportions. Here are the steps:

  1. Identify parameters:

    • Sample size, n=200n = 200
    • Population proportion, p=0.10p = 0.10
  2. Compute the mean and standard deviation of the sampling distribution for p^\hat{p}:

    • Mean μp^=p=0.10\mu_{\hat{p}} = p = 0.10
    • Standard deviation σp^=p(1p)n=0.10×0.90200\sigma_{\hat{p}} = \sqrt{\frac{p(1 - p)}{n}} = \sqrt{\frac{0.10 \times 0.90}{200}}

    Calculating σp^\sigma_{\hat{p}}: σp^=0.10×0.90200=0.000450.0212\sigma_{\hat{p}} = \sqrt{\frac{0.10 \times 0.90}{200}} = \sqrt{0.00045} \approx 0.0212

  3. Convert P(p^<0.07)P(\hat{p} < 0.07) to a Z-score:

    • Find the Z-score for p^=0.07\hat{p} = 0.07: Z=p^μp^σp^=0.070.100.02121.4151Z = \frac{\hat{p} - \mu_{\hat{p}}}{\sigma_{\hat{p}}} = \frac{0.07 - 0.10}{0.0212} \approx -1.4151
  4. Find the probability using the Z-score:

    • Using the TI-84, input the Z-score into the normal cumulative distribution function (normalcdf) to find P(Z<1.4151)P(Z < -1.4151).
    • On the TI-84: normalcdf(-1E99, -1.4151).
  5. Conclusion: The probability P(p^<0.07)0.0784P(\hat{p} < 0.07) \approx 0.0784.

So, the final answer is: P(p^<0.07)0.0784P(\hat{p} < 0.07) \approx 0.0784

Would you like additional details on any steps?

Related Questions

  1. How would you calculate P(p^>0.07)P(\hat{p} > 0.07) for the same values of nn and pp?
  2. What if the sample size, nn, increased to 500? How would this affect the probability?
  3. How does the Central Limit Theorem apply to sample means compared to sample proportions?
  4. What is the probability P(p^=0.10)P(\hat{p} = 0.10) given this distribution?
  5. Can the TI-84 calculator also perform hypothesis testing for proportions?

Tip

Always verify that both npnp and n(1p)n(1 - p) are greater than 5 to ensure the sample proportion approximates a normal distribution under the CLT.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Probability
Sampling Distributions
Central Limit Theorem

Formulas

Mean of the sampling distribution of p̂: μ̂ = p
Standard deviation of the sampling distribution of p̂: σ̂ = sqrt(p * (1 - p) / n)
Z-score for sample proportion: Z = (p̂ - μ̂) / σ̂

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 11-12, College Introductory Statistics