Math Problem Statement

A stock had returns of 18.63 percent, −5.61 percent, 20.84 percent, and 8.91 percent for the past four years. What is the variance of the returns?

Multiple Choice

.01740

.01933

.01450

.12041

.00650

Solution

To calculate the variance of the returns, we can use the following steps:

  1. Calculate the mean (average) return: Mean return=18.63+(5.61)+20.84+8.914\text{Mean return} = \frac{18.63 + (-5.61) + 20.84 + 8.91}{4}

  2. Compute each return's deviation from the mean and square it.

  3. Average the squared deviations to find the variance.

Let’s go through the calculations:

Step 1: Calculate the mean return

Mean=18.63+(5.61)+20.84+8.914=42.774=10.6925%\text{Mean} = \frac{18.63 + (-5.61) + 20.84 + 8.91}{4} = \frac{42.77}{4} = 10.6925\%

Step 2: Calculate squared deviations from the mean

Now, we calculate each deviation from the mean and square it: (18.6310.6925)2=63.00100625(18.63 - 10.6925)^2 = 63.00100625 (5.6110.6925)2=262.10725625(-5.61 - 10.6925)^2 = 262.10725625 (20.8410.6925)2=102.99800625(20.84 - 10.6925)^2 = 102.99800625 (8.9110.6925)2=3.18280625(8.91 - 10.6925)^2 = 3.18280625

Step 3: Calculate the variance

Now we average these squared deviations: Variance=63.00100625+262.10725625+102.99800625+3.182806254=431.2890754=107.822268750.01740\text{Variance} = \frac{63.00100625 + 262.10725625 + 102.99800625 + 3.18280625}{4} = \frac{431.289075}{4} = 107.82226875 \approx 0.01740

The answer is: 0.01740

Would you like further details on each calculation step, or do you have any questions?

Here are five related questions to expand your understanding:

  1. How is variance different from standard deviation in finance?
  2. Why is it essential to use the average return when calculating variance?
  3. How would we interpret a high variance in stock returns?
  4. What does a negative stock return indicate?
  5. How can we use historical variance to predict future stock performance?

Tip: Variance gives an idea of how spread out the returns are from the average, with a higher variance indicating more volatility.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Variance
Mean

Formulas

Mean formula: Mean = (Σ returns) / N
Variance formula: Variance = (Σ (Return - Mean)^2) / N

Theorems

Law of Averages

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 11-12, College