Math Problem Statement

The nursing department of a college surveyed two hundred graduates from their programs about their current work. The college has different levels of degrees in nursing available. The department found the following probabilities:

[\begin{aligned} &P(\text{bachelor's degree})=0.45 \\ &P(\text{working in nursing})=0.85 \\ &P(\text{in nursing and bachelor's})=0.4 \end{aligned}]

Find the probability that a graduate is currently working in nursing, given that they earned a bachelor's degree.

[P\left( \text{in nursing }| \text{ bachelor's} \right)=] 

Solution

We are asked to find the conditional probability that a graduate is currently working in nursing, given that they earned a bachelor's degree.

This conditional probability can be calculated using the formula:

P(in nursingbachelor’s)=P(in nursing and bachelor’s)P(bachelor’s)P(\text{in nursing} \mid \text{bachelor's}) = \frac{P(\text{in nursing and bachelor's})}{P(\text{bachelor's})}

Given:

  • P(bachelor’s degree)=0.45P(\text{bachelor's degree}) = 0.45
  • P(working in nursing and bachelor’s)=0.40P(\text{working in nursing and bachelor's}) = 0.40

We can now substitute these values into the formula.

P(in nursingbachelor’s)=0.400.45P(\text{in nursing} \mid \text{bachelor's}) = \frac{0.40}{0.45}

Let's calculate this.The probability that a graduate is currently working in nursing, given that they earned a bachelor's degree, is approximately 0.8890.889, or 88.9%.

Would you like further details or have any other questions?

Here are 5 related questions for further exploration:

  1. What is the probability that a graduate has a bachelor's degree, given that they are working in nursing?
  2. If a graduate does not have a bachelor's degree, what is the probability that they are working in nursing?
  3. What is the probability that a graduate neither has a bachelor's degree nor is working in nursing?
  4. How does the probability change if 60% of graduates have a bachelor's degree?
  5. What is the joint probability that a graduate both has a bachelor's degree and is not working in nursing?

Tip: Conditional probability helps refine predictions by incorporating relevant known information, which makes it especially useful in decision-making scenarios.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Conditional Probability

Formulas

Conditional probability formula: P(A | B) = P(A ∩ B) / P(B)

Theorems

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Suitable Grade Level

High School