Math Problem Statement

A stock had returns of 20.03% (1 year ago), 23.89% (2 years ago), X (3 years ago), and -18.63% (4 years ago) in each of the past 4 years. Over the past 4 years, the arithmetic average annual return for the stock was -.62 percent. What was the compound annual return for the stock over the past 4 years?

Input instructions: Input your answer as the number that appears before the percentage sign. For example, enter 9.86 for 9.86% (do not enter .0986 or 9.86%). Round your answer to 2 decimal places

Solution

To calculate the compound annual return (CAR), we follow these steps:

Step 1: Arithmetic Average Annual Return Formula

The arithmetic average annual return is given as: Arithmetic Average Return=Sum of yearly returnsNumber of years\text{Arithmetic Average Return} = \frac{\text{Sum of yearly returns}}{\text{Number of years}} Given this is 0.62%-0.62\%, we use it to find the missing return, XX.

Step 2: Solve for XX

Let the yearly returns be R1=20.03%R_1 = 20.03\%, R2=23.89%R_2 = 23.89\%, R3=XR_3 = X, R4=18.63%R_4 = -18.63\%. Then: 20.03+23.89+X18.634=0.62\frac{20.03 + 23.89 + X - 18.63}{4} = -0.62 20.03+23.89+X18.63=2.4820.03 + 23.89 + X - 18.63 = -2.48 X=2.48(20.03+23.8918.63)X = -2.48 - (20.03 + 23.89 - 18.63) X=2.4825.29=27.77%X = -2.48 - 25.29 = -27.77\%

Step 3: Compound Annual Return Formula

The compound annual return (CAR) is calculated using: CAR=((1+R1)(1+R2)(1+R3)(1+R4))141\text{CAR} = \left( (1 + R_1)(1 + R_2)(1 + R_3)(1 + R_4) \right)^{\frac{1}{4}} - 1 Convert percentages to decimals: R1=0.2003,R2=0.2389,R3=0.2777,R4=0.1863R_1 = 0.2003, \quad R_2 = 0.2389, \quad R_3 = -0.2777, \quad R_4 = -0.1863

Substitute these values into the formula: CAR=((1+0.2003)(1+0.2389)(10.2777)(10.1863))141\text{CAR} = \left( (1 + 0.2003)(1 + 0.2389)(1 - 0.2777)(1 - 0.1863) \right)^{\frac{1}{4}} - 1 CAR=(1.2003×1.2389×0.7223×0.8137)141\text{CAR} = \left( 1.2003 \times 1.2389 \times 0.7223 \times 0.8137 \right)^{\frac{1}{4}} - 1

Step 4: Compute the Result

First, calculate the product: 1.2003×1.2389×0.7223×0.8137=0.87841.2003 \times 1.2389 \times 0.7223 \times 0.8137 = 0.8784 Now, take the fourth root: 0.878414=0.96790.8784^{\frac{1}{4}} = 0.9679 Finally, subtract 1 to find CAR: CAR=0.96791=0.0321\text{CAR} = 0.9679 - 1 = -0.0321 Convert to a percentage: CAR=3.21%\text{CAR} = -3.21\%

Final Answer:

3.21\boxed{-3.21}

Do you have any questions or need further clarification?


Related Questions:

  1. How does compound annual return differ from arithmetic average return?
  2. What are the limitations of using arithmetic average for returns?
  3. Can compound annual return be negative while arithmetic average is positive?
  4. What is the significance of using percentage change rather than raw values?
  5. How can geometric mean help in financial calculations?

Tip: Compound annual return accounts for the compounding effect, making it more accurate for multi-year financial performance evaluation.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Arithmetic Average
Compound Annual Return
Algebra
Exponential Functions

Formulas

Arithmetic Average = (Sum of yearly returns) / (Number of years)
Compound Annual Return = [(1 + R1)(1 + R2)(1 + R3)(1 + R4)]^(1/4) - 1

Theorems

Properties of Exponents

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12