Math Problem Statement

Use the estimation method to calculate and interpret a confidence interval. (3 pts.) Suppose we are sampling from a population that is known to be normal with a standard deviation of o = 5. However, the mean is unknown, so we will need to estimate it using our sample mean. A. For a sample mean (X) = 20 and a sample size N = 25, compute a 95% confidence interval for (Show the process you used to determine the CI bounds.)

Solution

To compute a 95% confidence interval (CI) for the population mean given that the population is normally distributed with a known standard deviation σ=5\sigma = 5, a sample mean Xˉ=20\bar{X} = 20, and a sample size N=25N = 25, we'll follow these steps:

Step-by-Step Process:

  1. Determine the Z-score for a 95% confidence level:

    • For a 95% confidence interval, the corresponding Z-score (critical value) is found using standard normal distribution tables. The Z-value for 95% confidence is approximately Z=1.96Z = 1.96.
  2. Calculate the standard error of the mean (SE): SE=σN=525=55=1SE = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{N}} = \frac{5}{\sqrt{25}} = \frac{5}{5} = 1

  3. Compute the margin of error (ME): ME=Z×SE=1.96×1=1.96ME = Z \times SE = 1.96 \times 1 = 1.96

  4. Calculate the confidence interval bounds: The formula for the confidence interval is: (XˉME,Xˉ+ME)\left( \bar{X} - ME, \bar{X} + ME \right) Substituting the values: (201.96,20+1.96)=(18.04,21.96)\left( 20 - 1.96, 20 + 1.96 \right) = \left( 18.04, 21.96 \right)

Conclusion:

The 95% confidence interval for the population mean is (18.04,21.96)(18.04, 21.96). This means we are 95% confident that the true population mean lies within this interval.

Interpretation:

If we were to take many samples of size 25 and compute a 95% confidence interval for each sample, approximately 95% of those intervals would contain the true population mean.


Would you like further details on the steps or any clarifications?

Related Questions:

  1. What is the relationship between confidence intervals and sample size?
  2. How does increasing the confidence level affect the confidence interval width?
  3. Why do we use Z-scores instead of T-scores in this case?
  4. What are the implications of having a larger standard deviation in confidence interval estimation?
  5. How would the confidence interval change if we had a larger sample size?

Tip:

Always check whether the population standard deviation is known or unknown before deciding to use Z-scores or T-scores when constructing confidence intervals.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Confidence Intervals
Normal Distribution
Estimation

Formulas

Standard Error = σ / √N
Margin of Error = Z × Standard Error
Confidence Interval = (Sample Mean - Margin of Error, Sample Mean + Margin of Error)

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem
Properties of the Normal Distribution

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12