Math Problem Statement
Solution
The problem involves calculating probabilities for a binomial distribution, as we are given a fixed number of trials (7 flights), with two possible outcomes (on time or not on time), and a constant probability of success (50% or 0.5 for an on-time flight).
Let:
- (number of trials or flights),
- (probability of success, i.e., flight being on time),
- (probability of failure, i.e., flight not being on time).
The binomial probability formula is: where is the number of on-time flights, and is the binomial coefficient, or "n choose k."
1. The probability that at least 4 flights are on time:
This requires calculating , which means the sum of the probabilities for 4, 5, 6, and 7 flights being on time:
2. The probability that at most 5 flights are on time:
This requires calculating , which means the sum of the probabilities for 0 through 5 flights being on time:
3. The probability that exactly 2 flights are on time:
This is directly calculating using the binomial probability formula.
Let me compute these probabilities for you.Here are the results:
- The probability that at least 4 flights are on time is 0.500.
- The probability that at most 5 flights are on time is 0.938.
- The probability that exactly 2 flights are on time is 0.164.
Would you like more details on any of these calculations or have any questions?
Here are 5 related questions to explore:
- What is the probability that all 7 flights are on time?
- How would the probabilities change if the success rate (on-time probability) was 60% instead of 50%?
- What is the expected number of on-time flights given the current probability?
- How would you calculate the standard deviation of the number of on-time flights?
- What is the probability that exactly 3 flights are on time?
Tip: Binomial distributions are useful when dealing with events that have a fixed number of trials, and each trial has only two possible outcomes.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Probability
Binomial Distribution
Formulas
P(X = k) = (n choose k) * p^k * (1-p)^(n-k)
At least probability: P(X >= 4) = P(X = 4) + P(X = 5) + P(X = 6) + P(X = 7)
At most probability: P(X <= 5) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2) + P(X = 3) + P(X = 4) + P(X = 5)
Exact probability: P(X = 2)
Theorems
Binomial Probability Theorem
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 10-12
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