Math Problem Statement

Assume the random variable X has a binomial distribution with the given probability of obtaining a success. Find the following probability, given the number of trials and the probability of obtaining a success. Round your answer to four decimal places.

P(X=4) , n=13 , p=0.4

Solution

The probability of a specific number of successes, X=kX = k, in a binomial distribution can be calculated using the following formula:

P(X=k)=(nk)pk(1p)nkP(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1 - p)^{n - k}

Where:

  • n=13n = 13 is the number of trials,
  • p=0.4p = 0.4 is the probability of success on each trial,
  • k=4k = 4 is the number of successes,
  • (nk)\binom{n}{k} is the binomial coefficient, which is calculated as n!k!(nk)!\frac{n!}{k!(n-k)!}.

Now, let’s compute P(X=4)P(X = 4):

P(X=4)=(134)(0.4)4(0.6)9P(X = 4) = \binom{13}{4} (0.4)^4 (0.6)^9

  1. Calculate (134)\binom{13}{4}: (134)=13!4!(134)!=13×12×11×104×3×2×1=715\binom{13}{4} = \frac{13!}{4!(13-4)!} = \frac{13 \times 12 \times 11 \times 10}{4 \times 3 \times 2 \times 1} = 715

  2. Calculate (0.4)4(0.4)^4 and (0.6)9(0.6)^9: (0.4)4=0.0256and(0.6)9=0.010077696(0.4)^4 = 0.0256 \quad \text{and} \quad (0.6)^9 = 0.010077696

  3. Now, calculate the final probability: P(X=4)=715×0.0256×0.010077696=0.1817P(X = 4) = 715 \times 0.0256 \times 0.010077696 = 0.1817

Thus, the probability P(X=4)P(X = 4) is approximately 0.1817.

Would you like further details or have any questions on this? Here are a few related questions:

  1. How do you calculate the binomial coefficient (nk)\binom{n}{k} for other values of nn and kk?
  2. How does the binomial distribution compare to the normal distribution for large nn?
  3. How can we compute cumulative probabilities for binomial distributions?
  4. What does the expected value E(X)E(X) represent in a binomial distribution?
  5. How does changing the probability pp affect the shape of the binomial distribution?

Tip: In many problems, using a binomial calculator or statistical software can save time when calculating binomial probabilities.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Binomial Distribution
Combinatorics

Formulas

P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1 - p)^{n - k}
\binom{n}{k} = \frac{n!}{k!(n-k)!}

Theorems

Binomial Distribution Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 9-12