Math Problem Statement
The 2009 batting champion in a national baseball league has a batting average of 0.349. This can be interpreted as a probability of 0.349 of getting a hit whenever he bats. Assume that each time at bat is an independent event. Suppose he goes to bat 4 times in a game. (a) Find the probability distribution for the number of hits. (b) What is the expected number of hits that the champion gets in a game? Question content area bottom Part 1 (a) Select the correct choice below and fill in the answer boxes within your choice. (Do not round until the final answer. Then round to four decimal places as needed.) A. x 1 2 3 4 P(x) enter your response here enter your response here enter your response here enter your response here B. x 0 1 2 3 4 5 P(x) enter your response here enter your response here enter your response here enter your response here enter your response here enter your response here C. x 0 1 2 3 4 P(x) enter your response here enter your response here enter your response here enter your response here enter your response here
Solution
To solve this problem, we can model it using a binomial distribution. The number of hits in a game follows a binomial distribution because:
- The player either gets a hit or not, which is a Bernoulli trial.
- The probability of success (getting a hit) is constant for each trial, .
- The number of at-bats (trials) is fixed at .
Part (a) - Find the Probability Distribution
The probability mass function for a binomial distribution is given by:
Where:
- is the number of trials (at-bats),
- is the number of successes (hits),
- is the probability of success (getting a hit),
- is the binomial coefficient, calculated as .
Now, we calculate the probabilities for each possible value of (number of hits) from 0 to 4.
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Thus, the probability distribution for the number of hits is:
x | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
P(x) | 0.1796 | 0.3841 | 0.3081 | 0.1112 | 0.0169 |
Part (b) - Expected Number of Hits
The expected value for a binomial distribution is calculated as:
Where and :
Thus, the expected number of hits that the player gets in a game is 1.396.
Would you like any further details or clarification?
Here are 5 related questions to explore:
- How would the probabilities change if the player went to bat 5 times instead of 4?
- What is the probability of the player getting exactly 2 hits in a game?
- How do you calculate the variance for a binomial distribution?
- What if the player's batting average improved to 0.400? How would that affect the expected number of hits?
- Can you interpret the meaning of the expected value in the context of this problem?
Tip: The sum of all probabilities in a probability distribution must always equal 1. This can help in verifying your calculations.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Binomial Distribution
Probability
Expected Value
Formulas
P(x) = C(n, x) * p^x * (1 - p)^(n - x)
E(X) = n * p
Theorems
Binomial Theorem
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 11-12
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